SCR Altach vs Grazer AK Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: SCR Altach 1-2 Grazer AK.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% SCR Altach, 29% draw, 27% Grazer AK — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SCR Altach at 44% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SCR Altach vs Grazer AK
Line-ups
- 1D. StojanovicG
- 27Filip MilojevicD
- 16R. RahmaniD
- 17L. JägerD
- 29N. NiehoffM
- 6V. DemakuM
- 8M. BähreM
- 37B. BöckleM
- 28Y. MassomboF
- 10O. DiawaraF
- 18P. GreilF
- 31D. AntoschG
- 21Jakob BrandtnerD
- 7D. CosgunM
- 22Y. EisschillM
- 19S. HrstićF
- 30E. ScherfG
- 34A. VonbrulM
- 32Nemanja KrstovicM
- 39R. Elongo-YomboF
- 23C. StankovićG
- 27Y. OberleitnerD
- 82B. OwusuD
- 21M. SollbauerD
- 28AndersonM
- 34P. MichorlM
- 24C. CvetkoM
- 10C. LichtenbergerM
- 25A. HofleitnerF
- 9D. MadernerF
- 6L. HermeshF
- 48M. GraggerD
- 11M. GroßeF
- 72Petar MarkovicD
- 1J. MeierhoferG
- 26C. NichtG
- 7A. SmitsF
- 52Julian RumplM
Form going into SCR Altach vs Grazer AK
SCR Altach
- L0-3away to Lask Linz29 August 2026
- L1-2TSV Hartberg22 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sturm Graz15 August 2026
- W3-1WSG Wattens7 August 2026
Grazer AK
- D0-0Wolfsberger AC29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Ried21 August 2026
- L0-8away to Rapid Vienna16 August 2026
- W2-1Austria Lustenau8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SCR Altach | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 7 | Grazer AK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SCR Altach vs Grazer AK
- 12 September 2026SCR Altach 1–2 Grazer AKBundesliga
- 9 May 2026Grazer AK 2–2 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 11 April 2026SCR Altach 1–0 Grazer AKBundesliga
- 1 November 2025Grazer AK 3–1 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 24 August 2025SCR Altach 1–1 Grazer AKBundesliga
- 10 May 2025SCR Altach 2–2 Grazer AKBundesliga
Leading scorers: SCR Altach and Grazer AK
SCR Altach
- Y. Massombo2 goals
Grazer AK
- A. Hofleitner2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.