23 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina Premijer Liga prediction & result

Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, Mostar
Referee: Milos Gigovic, Bosnia & Herzegovina
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Zrinjski 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina.

Before kick-off the model made it 78% Zrinjski, 14% draw, 8% Radnik Bijeljina — fair odds of 1.28, 7.14 and 12.50.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Zrinjski at 78%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zrinjski98%Draw2%Radnik Bijeljina0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Ilic
5'
🔁M. Cuicout: D. Lagumdzija
46'
🔁K. Abramovicout: S. Cvetkovic
61'
66'
🔁O. Klenpicout: B. Dimitric
66'
🔁A. Markovicout: A. Ijoma
🔁M. Vranjkovicout: S. Jakovljevic
76'
🔁A. Ilicout: H. Ljukovac
76'
78'
🔁H. Karjasevicout: L. Mihai
82'
🔁M. Andacicout: E. Crnko
🔁M. Cuzeout: D. Morris
90+3'

Match stats — Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina

52%Possession48%
2On target2
7Corners6

Line-ups

Zrinjski 4-2-3-1
  • 18Goran KaračićG
  • 19Marko VranjkovićD
  • 15Karlo StapićD
  • 6Igor SavićM
  • 12Petar MamićD
  • 20Antonio IvančićM
  • 10Mario ČuićM
  • 77Karlo AbramovićM
  • 17Antonio IlićM
  • 25Mario ĆužeM
  • 99Nemanja BilbijaF
Substitutes
  • 31Zvonimir ŠubarićG
  • 40Branko ĆurdoD
  • 24Toma PalićD
  • 27Slobodan JakovljevićD
  • 37Darick Kobie MorrisD
  • 80Hamza LjukovacM
  • 8Ivica VidovićM
  • 42Marijan ĆavarM
  • 5Dan LagumdzijaM
Radnik Bijeljina 4-4-2
  • 1Dušan MarkovićG
  • 14Andrija MarkovićD
  • 66Miladin StevanovićD
  • 5Blondon Meyapya FongainD
  • 3Slaviša RadovićD
  • 77Mohamed GhorziM
  • 19Huso KarjaševićM
  • 32Mateo AndačićD
  • 70Ateef KonateM
  • 29Danilo TeodorovićF
  • 11Ognjen KlenpićM
Substitutes
  • 27Vedran KjoševskiG
  • 16Božidar DimitrićD
  • 22Mustafa ŠukilovićD
  • 7Indy BoonenM
  • 10Emanuel ČrnkoM
  • 8Tino Blaž LaušM
  • 17Luka CvetićaninM
  • 18Igor SpaićM
  • 21Marko BardakM

Form going into Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina

Zrinjski

Premijer Liga

  • W3-0away to Čelik18 October 2026
  • W6-2away to Sloga Doboj11 October 2026

Radnik Bijeljina

Premijer Liga

  • D1-1FK Sarajevo17 October 2026
  • W3-1Zeljeznicar Sarajevo11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Zrinjski131111317+2434
9Radnik Bijeljina132561926-711

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina

  • 27 September 2026Radnik Bijeljina 0–1 ZrinjskiFriendlies Clubs
  • 16 August 2026Radnik Bijeljina 1–5 ZrinjskiPremijer Liga
  • 9 May 2026Radnik Bijeljina 0–1 ZrinjskiPremijer Liga
  • 15 April 2026Zrinjski 2–0 Radnik BijeljinaCup
  • 8 April 2026Radnik Bijeljina 0–0 ZrinjskiCup
  • 8 March 2026Zrinjski 2–1 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga

Leading scorers: Zrinjski and Radnik Bijeljina

Zrinjski

GoalsAssists

  • A. Ilic31
  • N. Bilbija31
  • M. Ćuže20

Radnik Bijeljina

GoalsAssists

  • D. Teodorović21
  • V. Bradonjić20
  • M. Ghorzi11

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Zrinjski beat Radnik Bijeljina 1–0. The model had made a win for Zrinjski its most likely outcome, at 78%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goal: A. Ilic 5' for Zrinjski.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zrinjski a 62.6% chance to win the league: 64.0% after a win, 54.6% after a draw, 52.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 64.0%, 1.4 points higher than before the match.

For Radnik Bijeljina the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 38.1% going in: 27.6% after a win, 36.1% after a draw, 38.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 38.9%, 0.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Zrinjski v Radnik Bijeljina has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 74% / 16% / 10% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 78% / 14% / 8%: the biggest move is Zrinjski's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Zrinjski win78%▲ +4
  2. Draw14%▼ −2
  3. Radnik Bijeljina win8%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.