24 October 2026, 17:46 UTC

FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Premijer Liga prediction & result

Sarajevo
Referee: Amin Efendić, Bosnia & Herzegovina
Full time2 – 0

Final score: FK Sarajevo 2-0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% FK Sarajevo, 28% draw, 22% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FK Sarajevo at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Sarajevo5%Draw93%Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Luka Dajčerout: Matija Glogovac
3'
Ricardo Caraballo
45+2'
45+2'
Amar Ibrišimović
45'
Samir Radovac
53'
Aleksa Pejić
🔁Ivan Šarićout: Francis Kyeremeh
74'
🔁Filip Živkovićout: Antonio Galešić
74'
🔁Ricardo Caraballoout: Bartol Barišić
74'
76'
🔁Samir Radovacout: Madžid Šošić
76'
🔁Rodrigo Pilotoout: Ante Kuliš
⚽Francis Kyeremeh
90+24'
⚽Antonio Galešić
90+12'
Francis Kyeremeh
90+25'
90+16'
Ante Kuliš
🔁Leo Mikićout: Mihael Kuprešak
90'
90'
🔁Ajdin Raščićout: Gabriel Cunha Geraldo
90'
🔁Eldar Dragovićout: Aldian Korora

Line-ups

FK Sarajevo
  • 31Ivan BanićG
  • 22Amar BeganovićD
  • 6Jovan IvaniševićD
  • 30Luka DajčerD
  • 70Selmir PidroD
  • 38Souleymane MéitéM
  • 24Filip ŽivkovićM
  • 9Leo MikićM
  • 20Agon EleziM
  • 7Ivan ŠarićM
  • 19Ricardo CaraballoF
Substitutes
  • 18Matija GlogovacD
  • 8Antonio GalešićM
  • 11Francis KyeremehM
  • 99Bartol BarišićF
  • 77Mihael KuprešakM
  • 13Sanin MusijaG
  • 17Filip KosiD
  • 27Luka HujberD
  • 32Vedad LetoM
Coach: Zoran Zekic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
  • 1Tarik AbdulahovićG
  • 24Ajdin RaščićD
  • 5Amar IbrišimovićD
  • 4Marin KaramarkoD
  • 30Marko KaramarkoD
  • 6Aleksa PejićM
  • 88Samir RadovacM
  • 7Yacouba Dabo GnakoF
  • 23Eldar DragovićM
  • 32Sandro JovanovićM
  • 90Rodrigo PilotoF
Substitutes
  • 16Madžid ŠošićM
  • 12Ante KulišF
  • 49Gabriel Cunha GeraldoF
  • 9Aldian KororaF
  • 99Ángel JiménezG
  • 33Daris KelmendiD
  • 20Giovanni TroupeeD
  • 15Bojan NastićD
  • 22Admir GojakM
Coach: David Muslera

Form going into FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

FK Sarajevo

Premijer Liga

  • D1-1away to Radnik Bijeljina17 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Čelik11 October 2026

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

Premijer Liga

  • D1-1away to BSK Banja Luka17 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Radnik Bijeljina11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3FK Sarajevo13553107+320
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo133461321-813

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

  • 9 September 2026Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2–0 FK SarajevoPremijer Liga
  • 25 May 2026FK Sarajevo 1–0 Zeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga
  • 4 April 2026Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0–0 FK SarajevoPremijer Liga
  • 7 December 2025FK Sarajevo 4–0 Zeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga
  • 27 September 2025Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2–0 FK SarajevoPremijer Liga

Leading scorers: FK Sarajevo and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

FK Sarajevo

GoalsAssists

  • R. Caraballo20

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

GoalsAssists

  • M. Husković20
  • Rodrigo Piloto20
  • A. Pejić12

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FK Sarajevo beat Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2–0. The model had made a win for FK Sarajevo its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Francis Kyeremeh 90+24' for FK Sarajevo, Antonio Galešić 90+12' for FK Sarajevo.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FK Sarajevo a 87.0% chance to finish in the top four: 90.4% after a win, 85.9% after a draw, 80.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 90.4%, 3.4 points higher than before the match.

For Zeljeznicar Sarajevo the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 40.1% going in: 49.7% after a win, 41.2% after a draw, 36.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 36.4%, 3.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.