31 October 2026, 11:00 UTC

Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets Premier League prediction & result

Avanhard, Rivne
Referee: O. Kohut
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Veres Rivne 1-3 Chornomorets.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Veres Rivne, 32% draw, 30% Chornomorets — fair odds of 2.63, 3.13 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Veres Rivne at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Veres Rivne0%Draw1%Chornomorets99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Wesley Pombaassist: André Gonçalves
3'
21'
⚽Vasyl Kurkoassist: giorgi robakidze
33'
⚽Christian Mbaassist: Mykola Kogut
Semen Vovchenko
44'
Igor Kharatin
50'
🔁Wesley Pombaout: Vladyslav Sharay
59'
🔁Igor Kharatinout: Danyil Checher
59'
🔁Mykyta Aleksandrovout: David Niyo
59'
Vladyslav Sharay
64'
🔁André Gonçalvesout: Guilherme Bahia
65'
67'
🔁Mykola Kogutout: Andriy Khoma
70'
⚽Andriy Khomaassist: giorgi robakidze
🔁Rostyslav baranout: Alagie Wally
79'
83'
🔁Vasyl Kurkoout: Dmytro Klyots
83'
🔁Christian Mbaout: Jerry Yoka
90+2'
Maryan Faryna

Match stats — Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets

48%Possession52%
7Shots12
3On target4
5Corners3

Line-ups

Veres Rivne 4-4-2
  • 91V. GorokhG
  • 17M. ProtasevychD
  • 4K. CipotD
  • 3S. VovchenkoD
  • 2M. SmiyanD
  • 11L. PombaM
  • 88R. BaranM
  • 14I. KharatinM
  • 19André GonçalvesM
  • 23M. AleksandrovF
  • 7Fabrício YanF
Substitutes
  • 27S. MigutskyiF
  • 44D. ChecherD
  • 6David NiyoM
  • 99Vadym SamkovG
  • 25I. SanotskyiF
  • 77V. SharayM
  • 53Andrey VictorD
  • 22K. StamoulisD
  • 1Pavlo StefanyukG
Coach: O. Shandruk
Chornomorets 4-2-3-1
  • 12C. AniagbosoG
  • 27O. PushkarevD
  • 24M. JarjuD
  • 60M. MelnychenkoD
  • 74M. FarinaD
  • 30Muhammed JobeM
  • 18G. RobakidzeM
  • 7D. AlefirenkoM
  • 5V. KurkoM
  • 19M. KogutM
  • 99C. MbaF
Substitutes
  • 23O. GusevD
  • 10A. AvagimyanM
  • 16N. BaydaG
  • 13V. FaraseenkoM
  • 9A. KhomaF
  • 8D. KlyotsM
  • 21V. KlymenkoM
  • 17I. KogutM
  • 22S. KorniychukD
Coach: R. Grigorchuk

Form going into Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets

Veres Rivne

Premier League

  • L0-2Kolos Kovalivka23 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Obolon'-Brovar16 October 2026
  • L0-3Shakhtar Donetsk9 October 2026

Chornomorets

Premier League

  • D0-0Karpaty25 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Zorya Luhansk17 October 2026
  • L1-2FC Kharkiv10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Veres Rivne12237718-119
11Chornomorets11236813-59

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets

  • 20 April 2025Veres Rivne 2–1 ChornomoretsPremier League
  • 20 October 2024Chornomorets 1–1 Veres RivnePremier League
  • 17 March 2024Chornomorets 0–1 Veres RivnePremier League
  • 1 September 2023Veres Rivne 3–1 ChornomoretsPremier League
  • 4 March 2023Veres Rivne 1–3 ChornomoretsPremier League
  • 23 August 2022Chornomorets 0–1 Veres RivnePremier League

Leading scorers: Veres Rivne and Chornomorets

Veres Rivne

GoalsAssists

  • André Gonçalves22

Chornomorets

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Chornomorets won 3–1 at Veres Rivne. The model had leaned towards a win for Veres Rivne at 38% and given a win for Chornomorets 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Wesley Pomba 3' for Veres Rivne, Vasyl Kurko 21' for Chornomorets, Christian Mba 33' for Chornomorets, Andriy Khoma 70' for Chornomorets.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Veres Rivne a 53.5% chance to finish in the bottom four: 43.6% after a win, 55.7% after a draw, 64.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 64.0%, 10.5 points higher than before the match.

For Chornomorets the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 48.0% going in: 37.2% after a win, 48.3% after a draw, 55.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 37.2%, 10.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Veres Rivne v Chornomorets has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 40% / 31% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 38% / 32% / 30%: the biggest move is Veres Rivne's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Veres Rivne win38%▼ −2
  2. Draw32%▲ +1
  3. Chornomorets win30%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.