7 November 2026, 11:00 UTC

Kudrivka vs Chornomorets Premier League prediction & result

Avangard, Rivne
Referee: Klim Zabroda
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Kudrivka 1-0 Chornomorets.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Kudrivka, 26% draw, 38% Chornomorets — fair odds of 2.78, 3.85 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Chornomorets at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kudrivka95%Draw5%Chornomorets0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Yevgeniy Smyrnyiassist: Denys Svityukha
9'
Denys Svityukha
43'
🔁Dmytro Semenovout: Myroslav Serdyuk
45'
🔁Mykola Vechurkoout: Oleksandr Beljaev
45'
45'
🔁giorgi robakidzeout: Dmytro Klyots
45'
🔁Muhammed Jobeout: Jerry Yoka
45'
🔁Mykola Kogutout: Andriy Khoma
61'
🔁Christian Mbaout: Kiril·Popov
69'
Jerry Yoka
🔁Denys Svityukhaout: Kostyantyn Bychek
71'
🔁Yevgeniy Smyrnyiout: Faites Prévu Kaya Makosso
71'
🔁Rodion Plaksaout: Yuriy Potimkov
79'
80'
🔁Vasyl Kurkoout: Artur Avagimyan
Myroslav Serdyuk
81'
89'
Maksym Melnychenko
90'
Kiril·Popov
90+1'
Roman Grygorchuk

Match stats — Kudrivka vs Chornomorets

56%Possession44%
3Shots8
2On target5
2Corners4

Line-ups

Kudrivka 4-4-2
  • 1K. LavutaG
  • 42Y. PasichD
  • 22B. VeklyakD
  • 50D. SemenovD
  • 91M. MelnychukD
  • 20D. SvityukhaM
  • 6M. VechurkoM
  • 19A. DumanyukM
  • 10R. PlaksaM
  • 8Y. SmyrnyiF
  • 24R. OwusuF
Substitutes
  • 21O. BelyaevM
  • 17M. SerdyukD
  • 66K. SigeevM
  • 71S. StenM
  • 9R. VerleyF
  • 37A. YashkovG
  • 70D. YesinM
  • 23O. YushchenkoM
  • 14K. MakossoM
Coach: Yevgen Zadorozhniy
Chornomorets 4-2-3-1
  • 12C. AniagbosoG
  • 27O. PushkarevD
  • 24M. JarjuD
  • 60M. MelnychenkoD
  • 74M. FarinaD
  • 30Muhammed JobeM
  • 18G. RobakidzeM
  • 7D. AlefirenkoM
  • 5V. KurkoM
  • 19M. KogutM
  • 99C. MbaF
Substitutes
  • 23O. GusevD
  • 10A. AvagimyanM
  • 16N. BaydaG
  • 13V. FaraseenkoM
  • 9A. KhomaF
  • 8D. KlyotsM
  • 21V. KlymenkoM
  • 22S. KorniychukD
  • 35M. KovalG
Coach: R. Grigorchuk

Form going into Kudrivka vs Chornomorets

Kudrivka

Premier League

  • L0-5away to Karpaty2 November 2026
  • L1-3away to Dynamo Kyiv23 October 2026
  • W4-1Bukovyna17 October 2026
  • L1-2away to LNZ Cherkasy11 October 2026

Chornomorets

Premier League

  • W3-1away to Veres Rivne31 October 2026
  • D0-0Karpaty25 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Zorya Luhansk17 October 2026
  • L1-2FC Kharkiv10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Kudrivka conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Kudrivka had three goals or more.
  • Kudrivka failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Chornomorets failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Chornomorets scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Chornomorets conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Kudrivka122281229-178
11Chornomorets11236813-59

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Kudrivka and Chornomorets

Kudrivka

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Smyrnyi30
  • D. Svityukha22
  • R. Owusu21

Chornomorets

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Kudrivka beat Chornomorets 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Chornomorets at 38% and given a win for Kudrivka 36%. The goal: Yevgeniy Smyrnyi 9' for Kudrivka.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kudrivka a 84.3% chance to finish in the bottom four: 79.1% after a win, 86.1% after a draw, 88.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 79.1%, 5.2 points lower than before the match.

For Chornomorets the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 17.6% going in: 12.3% after a win, 17.5% after a draw, 23.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.2%, 5.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Kudrivka v Chornomorets has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 42% / 27% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 36% / 26% / 38%: the biggest move is Chornomorets's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Kudrivka win36%▼ −6
  2. Draw26%▼ −1
  3. Chornomorets win38%▲ +7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.