The model rates their attack at 0.57× the league average and their defence at 1.13× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Next they host New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer on 18 September 2026, a match the model gives them 38%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
New York City FC host New York Red Bulls at Yankee Stadium, New York on 18 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. The model makes it 38% New York City FC, 32% draw and 30% New York Red Bulls, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.16 expected goals for New York City FC against 0.91. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
Full preview and model analysis for New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
Recent meetings with New York Red Bulls
- 16 May 2026New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- 29 April 2026New York Red Bulls 1–3 New York City FCUS Open Cup
- 27 September 2025New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- 17 May 2025New York City FC 2–0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- 23 November 2024New York City FC 0–2 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.