7 November 2026, 21:00 UTC

DC United vs New York City FC Major League Soccer prediction & result

Audi Field, Washington
Referee: M. Thompson
Full time0 – 1

Final score: DC United 0-1 New York City FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% DC United, 29% draw, 41% New York City FC — fair odds of 3.33, 3.45 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

New York City FC at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

DC United0%Draw3%New York City FC97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Brandon Servania
14'
24'
Talles Magno
28'
Raul Bicalho
45'
🔁Keaton Parksout: Jonathan Shore
59'
🔁Hannes Wolfout: Agustin Ojeda
🔁Nathan Ordazout: Jared Stroud
68'
68'
🔁Thiago Martinsout: Max Murray
69'
🔁Luighi Hanri Sousa Santosout: Bénie Adama Traoré
🔁Oscar Avilezout: Nikola Marković
75'
87'
⚽Talles Magnoassist: Bénie Adama Traoré
🔁Brandon Servaniaout: William Antley
90+1'

Match stats — DC United vs New York City FC

39%Possession61%
12Shots14
5On target5
5Corners3
0.87xG1.12

Goals against chances

DC United0 from 0.87 xGless than the chances were worth
New York City FC1 from 1.12 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

DC United 4-4-2
  • 24J. FarrG
  • 2K. NonoD
  • 5S. HeftiD
  • 13S. NealisD
  • 6K. KurokawaD
  • 32O. AvilezM
  • 4M. PeltolaM
  • 21A. DozzellM
  • 22N. OrdazM
  • 23B. ServaniaF
  • 7PeglowF
Substitutes
  • 48Gavin TurnerM
  • 12C. AntleyD
  • 26A. BonoG
  • 40K. CastilloM
  • 27Nikola MarkovicD
  • 8J. StroudM
Coach: R. Weiler
New York City FC 4-2-3-1
  • 49M. FreeseG
  • 24T. GrayD
  • 13Thiago MartinsD
  • 34Raul GustavoD
  • 22K. O'TooleD
  • 6J. SandsM
  • 55K. ParksM
  • 17H. WolfM
  • 7N. Fernández MercauM
  • 11Talles MagnoM
  • 20Luighi HanriF
Substitutes
  • 23Maxwell MurrayD
  • 26A. OjedaF
  • 30T. RomeroG
  • 32J. ShoreM
  • 9B. TraoréF
  • 88M. JonesF
  • 35M. IleničD
  • 27C. FlaxM
  • 2Nico CavalloD
Coach: P. Jansen

Form going into DC United vs New York City FC

DC United

Major League Soccer

  • L0-3away to Columbus Crew31 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Toronto FC28 October 2026
  • L0-2FC Cincinnati24 October 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Cincinnati21 October 2026

New York City FC

Major League Soccer

  • D1-1CF Montreal31 October 2026
  • W2-1Atlanta United FC28 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Orlando City SC24 October 2026
  • D1-1Los Angeles FC17 October 2026

What these results say

  • DC United did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • DC United conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for DC United had three goals or more.
  • New York City FC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • New York City FC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • New York City FC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14DC United34712153961-2233
11New York City FC341012124945+442

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: DC United vs New York City FC

  • 3 May 2026New York City FC 0–2 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 30 August 2025New York City FC 1–2 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 14 May 2025DC United 0–0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
  • 14 September 2024DC United 1–1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
  • 20 April 2024New York City FC 2–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 7 October 2023DC United 2–0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: DC United and New York City FC

DC United

GoalsAssists

  • T. Baribo161

New York City FC

GoalsAssists

  • N. Fernández Mercau166

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

New York City FC won 1–0 at DC United. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for New York City FC at 41%. The goal: Talles Magno 87' for New York City FC. On expected goals it finished 0.87–1.12.

How the call on DC United v New York City FC has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 32% / 29% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 30% / 29% / 41%: the biggest move is DC United's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. DC United win30%▼ −2
  2. Draw29%=
  3. New York City FC win41%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.