The model rates their attack at 0.76× the league average and their defence at 1.48× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Next they travel to St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 28%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Toronto FC vs St. Louis City
Toronto FC travel to St. Louis City at CITYPARK, Saint Louis on 20 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. The model makes it 28% Toronto FC, 28% draw and 44% St. Louis City, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.22 expected goals for Toronto FC against 1.81. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Full preview and model analysis for Toronto FC vs St. Louis City
Recent meetings with St. Louis City
- 8 July 2023Toronto FC 0–1 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
The last 1 meeting between the two, most recent first.