Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford: how the model saw it
Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Aston Villa at 40%, and rated the actual result at 26%.
More →Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Aston Villa at 40%, and rated the actual result at 26%.
More →Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth finished with Chelsea winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 47%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 5–1.
More →Atlas 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Guadalajara Chivas at 41%, and rated the actual result at 27%.
More →Como 0–0 AS Roma finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to AS Roma at 43%, and rated the actual result at 29%.
More →Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City finished with Manchester City winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 49%, though it expected 1-2 rather than 0–3.
More →Sao Paulo 2–1 Vitoria finished with Sao Paulo winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 47%, though it expected 1-0 rather than 2–1.
More →Universitario 2–2 FBC Melgar finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Universitario at 42%, and rated the actual result at 28%.
More →Our model leans to Atletico San Luis here, but not by much: 50% (fair odds 2.00) against 25% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Bahia here, but not by much: 49% (fair odds 2.04) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Hull City here, but not by much: 39% (fair odds 2.56) against 31% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Racing Club host Belgrano Cordoba in a game our model cannot separate: 34% for the home side, 33% for the draw and 33% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to Barcelona here, but not by much: 53% (fair odds 1.89) against 21% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-2, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Inter here, but not by much: 51% (fair odds 1.96) against 22% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Sporting CP here, but not by much: 45% (fair odds 2.22) against 23% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-2, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Millwall here, but not by much: 40% (fair odds 2.50) against 29% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →RB Bragantino host Cruzeiro in a game our model cannot separate: 37% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 34% for the visitors.
More →Stoke City host Middlesbrough in a game our model cannot separate: 33% for the home side, 28% for the draw and 39% for the visitors.
More →Villarreal host Napoli in a game our model cannot separate: 39% for the home side, 25% for the draw and 36% for the visitors.
More →Tigres UANL 3–2 Toluca finished with Tigres UANL winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 40%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 3–2.
More →Union Santa Fe 0–2 Defensa Y Justicia finished with Defensa Y Justicia winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Union Santa Fe at 38%, and rated the actual result at 35%.
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