Our model leans to Toronto FC here, but not by much: 43% (fair odds 2.33) against 24% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Deportivo La Coruna here, but not by much: 48% (fair odds 2.08) against 25% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Eintracht Frankfurt here, but not by much: 52% (fair odds 1.92) against 22% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Frosinone here, but not by much: 41% (fair odds 2.44) against 28% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →We simulated the rest of the season 10,000 times in each of 25 European top divisions. In 3 of them the title is close to a coin flip; in 5 it is all but decided.
More →Newcastle Jets 1–3 Gamba Osaka finished with Gamba Osaka winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Newcastle Jets at 41%, and rated the actual result at 35%.
More →RB Bragantino 4–2 Cruzeiro finished with RB Bragantino winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 41%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 4–2.
More →1899 Hoffenheim host Beşiktaş in a game our model cannot separate: 40% for the home side, 25% for the draw and 35% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to Juventus here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 30% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Lech Poznan host Bayer Leverkusen in a game our model cannot separate: 36% for the home side, 26% for the draw and 38% for the visitors.
More →Coventry 4–1 Newcastle finished with Coventry winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 38%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 4–1.
More →Levante 3–3 Sevilla finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Levante at 42%, and rated the actual result at 26%.
More →Pumas UNAM 3–3 Cruz Azul finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Pumas UNAM at 43%, and rated the actual result at 25%.
More →Talleres Cordoba 0–0 Independiente finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Talleres Cordoba at 36%, and rated the actual result at 32%.
More →Our model leans to AS Roma here, but not by much: 51% (fair odds 1.96) against 24% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Manchester City here, but not by much: 57% (fair odds 1.75) against 22% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Southampton here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 25% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-2, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Portsmouth host Sheffield Utd in a game our model cannot separate: 36% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 35% for the visitors.
More →Real Betis host FC Porto in a game our model cannot separate: 33% for the home side, 26% for the draw and 41% for the visitors.
More →Sarmiento Junin host River Plate in a game our model cannot separate: 37% for the home side, 28% for the draw and 35% for the visitors.
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