13 October 2026, 00:00 UTC

RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro Serie A prediction & result

Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganza
Referee: Savio Pereira Sampaio
Full time4 – 2

Final score: RB Bragantino 4-2 Cruzeiro.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% RB Bragantino, 29% draw, 34% Cruzeiro — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

RB Bragantino at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Guzman Rodriguez
10'
⚽Lucas Henrique Barbosaassist: Eric Ramires
13'
18'
William
⚽Kaio Jorge (OG)
20'
Ryan Augusto
28'
⚽Eric Ramires
30'
43'
⚽Zé Lucasassist: Kaio Jorge
45'
🔁Williamout: Fabrício Bruno
45'
🔁Gabriel Rojasout: Matías Viña
🔁Gustavo Marques Alves dos Santosout: Eduardo Santos
58'
63'
🔁João Marceloout: Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
63'
🔁Zé Lucasout: Matheus Henrique
🔁Wallace Yanout: Matheus Fernandes
65'
🔁Eduardo Sashaout: Isidro Pitta
66'
🔁Eric Ramiresout: Gabriel Girotto
66'
77'
Felipe Morais
78'
🔁Felipe Moraisout: Bruno Rodrigues
🔁Lucas Henrique Barbosaout: Jose Herrera
81'
•Fernando dos Santos Pedro
88'
89'
⚽Matheus Henrique
⚽Jose Herreraassist: Isidro Pitta
90+1'

Match stats — RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro

31%Possession69%
20Shots25
11On target13
7Corners6
2.88xG2.8

Goals against chances

RB Bragantino4 from 2.88 xGmore than the chances were worth
Cruzeiro2 from 2.80 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
  • 18Tiago VolpiG
  • 52Ryan TavaresD
  • 16Gustavo MarquesD
  • 2Guzmán RodríguezD
  • 29Juninho CapixabaD
  • 7Eric RamiresM
  • 5FabinhoM
  • 21Lucas BarbosaM
  • 47WallaceM
  • 11FernandoM
  • 8Eduardo SashaF
Substitutes
  • 35Matheus FernandesM
  • 6GabrielM
  • 3Eduardo SantosD
  • 19BruninhoF
  • 32J. HerreraF
  • 17ViniciusF
  • 9I. PittaF
  • 22GustavinhoM
  • 23A. Sant'AnnaD
Coach: Vagner Mancini
Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
  • 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende CostaG
  • 12WilliamD
  • 43João MarceloD
  • 34JonathanD
  • 27G. RojasD
  • 5Zé LucasM
  • 8GersonM
  • 99K. ArroyoM
  • 10Matheus PereiraM
  • 38Felipe MoraisM
  • 19Kaio JorgeF
Substitutes
  • 2Kauã MoraesD
  • 20Wesley GassovaF
  • 11MarquinhosF
  • 1CássioG
  • 9Bruno RodriguesF
  • 97L. RodríguezF
  • 16Lucas SilvaM
  • 15Fabrício BrunoD
  • 70KenjiF
Coach: Artur Jorge

Form going into RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro

RB Bragantino

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Mirassol7 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Flamengo20 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Botafogo12 September 2026
  • L2-3Bahia5 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Sao Paulo29 August 2026

Cruzeiro

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Sao Paulo8 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Vitoria20 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Santos13 September 2026
  • W3-1Atletico Paranaense6 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Vasco da Gama30 August 2026

What these results say

  • RB Bragantino did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • RB Bragantino scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • RB Bragantino conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Cruzeiro scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Cruzeiro conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Cruzeiro had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8RB Bragantino34138134439+547
3Cruzeiro34186105548+760

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro

  • 12 April 2026Cruzeiro 2–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
  • 21 September 2025Cruzeiro 2–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
  • 20 April 2025RB Bragantino 1–0 CruzeiroSerie A
  • 22 March 2025RB Bragantino 1–1 CruzeiroFriendlies Clubs
  • 1 December 2024RB Bragantino 1–1 CruzeiroSerie A

The full RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro record →

Leading scorers: RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro

RB Bragantino

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 44 league goals as a side.

Cruzeiro

GoalsAssists

  • Kaio Jorge142
  • Matheus Pereira97

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

RB Bragantino beat Cruzeiro 4–2. The model had made a win for RB Bragantino its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Lucas Henrique Barbosa 13' for RB Bragantino, Kaio Jorge (own goal) 20' for RB Bragantino, Eric Ramires 30' for RB Bragantino, Zé Lucas 43' for Cruzeiro, Matheus Henrique 89' for Cruzeiro, Jose Herrera 90+1' for RB Bragantino. On expected goals it finished 2.88–2.80.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Cruzeiro a 37.6% chance to finish in the top four: 48.5% after a win, 35.6% after a draw, 28.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.3%, 9.3 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Serie A season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.