A-League predictions & fixtures

Friday 20 November — 1 match

08:40 UTC Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United — model 42% / 25% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 4.00 · 3.03. Evenly matched

04:00 UTC Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory — model 41% / 26% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.85 · 3.03. Evenly matched
06:00 UTC Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory — model 31% / 24% / 45%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 4.17 · 2.22. Edge: Perth Glory
08:40 UTC Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC — model 32% / 29% / 39%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.13 · 3.45 · 2.56. Evenly matched

02:00 UTC Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur FC — model 46% / 26% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 3.85 · 3.57. Edge: Wellington Phoenix

08:40 UTC Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City — model 35% / 26% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.86 · 3.85 · 2.56. Evenly matched

08:40 UTC Central Coast Mariners vs Auckland FC — model 30% / 24% / 46%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.33 · 4.17 · 2.17. Edge: Auckland FC

6–8 November: the model called the result of 3 of 6 matches, 2 of them to the exact score.

Sydney FC 4–1 Central Coast Mariners — the model said 42% / 29% / 29%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
Auckland FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix — the model said 40% / 25% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Melbourne City 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers — the model said 40% / 26% / 34%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
Perth Glory 2–1 Newcastle Jets — the model said 42% / 24% / 34%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
Macarthur FC 1–2 Brisbane Roar — the model said 40% / 27% / 33%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Adelaide United 2–2 Melbourne Victory — the model said 35% / 25% / 40%, most likely 1-2: result missed.

Top of the table

1. Wellington Phoenix — 10 pts from 4 (3W 1D 0L, goals 7–1)
2. Sydney FC — 7 pts from 4 (2W 1D 1L, goals 7–4)
3. Brisbane Roar — 7 pts from 3 (2W 1D 0L, goals 5–3)
4. Melbourne City — 7 pts from 4 (2W 1D 1L, goals 6–6)
5. Perth Glory — 6 pts from 4 (2W 0D 2L, goals 8–5)

Leading scorers: A. Toure (Sydney FC) 4 goals, J. Kucharski (Perth Glory) 3 goals, C. Piper (Wellington Phoenix) 3 goals.