Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners A-League prediction & result
Final score: Sydney FC 4-1 Central Coast Mariners.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Sydney FC, 29% draw, 29% Central Coast Mariners — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sydney FC at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners
Line-ups
- 12Harrison Devenish-MearesG
- 23Rhyan GrantD
- 41Alexandar PopovicD
- 4Jordan Courtney-PerkinsD
- 17Ben GaruccioD
- 36Rhys YoulleyM
- 8Wataru KamijoM
- 35Al Hassan ToureM
- 14Takahiro SekineM
- 7Akol AkonM
- 9Oriola SundayF
- 20Tiago QuintalF
- 29Joseph LaceyM
- 2James OveryD
- 16Gabriel PopovicF
- 22Mathias MacallisterF
- 1Gus HoefslootG
- 5Jacob FarrellD
- 30Andrew RedmayneG
- 15Storm RouxD
- 3Diesel HerringtonD
- 12Noah MccannD
- 5Lucas MauragisD
- 22Arthur De LimaM
- 8Chris DonnellM
- 6Haine EamesM
- 72Ali AuglahM
- 37Bailey BrandtmanF
- 9Oliver LavaleF
- 11John-Kymani GordonF
- 17Presley OrtizF
- 45Jesse MantellM
- 52Isaac KwonF
- 39Alexander BoltonD
- 50Jai AjanovicG
- 41Shumba MutokoyiD
- 51Ty MckibbinM
Form going into Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners
Sydney FC
A-League
- L1-2away to Melbourne City31 October 2026
- W2-1Adelaide United25 October 2026
- D0-0Western Sydney Wanderers16 October 2026
Central Coast Mariners
A-League
- D1-1away to Melbourne Victory1 November 2026
- L0-2away to Wellington Phoenix25 October 2026
- D2-2Newcastle Jets17 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sydney FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sydney FC vs Central Coast Mariners
- 6 December 2025Central Coast Mariners 1–2 Sydney FCA-League
- 25 October 2025Sydney FC 2–0 Central Coast MarinersA-League
- 11 January 2025Sydney FC 4–1 Central Coast MarinersA-League
- 8 December 2024Central Coast Mariners 2–1 Sydney FCA-League
- 18 May 2024Central Coast Mariners 0–0 Sydney FCA-League
- 10 May 2024Sydney FC 1–2 Central Coast MarinersA-League
Leading scorers: Sydney FC and Central Coast Mariners
Sydney FC
GoalsAssists
- A. Toure41
- O. Sunday12
Central Coast Mariners
GoalsAssists
- O. Lavale30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sydney FC beat Central Coast Mariners 4–1. The model had made a win for Sydney FC its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Toure (penalty) 31' for Sydney FC, A. Toure 42' for Sydney FC, A. Toure 50' for Sydney FC, G. Popovic 85' for Sydney FC, O. Lavale (penalty) 90+1' for Central Coast Mariners.