Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers A-League prediction & result
Final score: Melbourne City 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Melbourne City, 26% draw, 34% Western Sydney Wanderers — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Melbourne City at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers
Line-ups
- 40James NieuwenhuizenG
- 13Nathaniel AtkinsonD
- 18Julio CascanteD
- 2Harrison DelbridgeD
- 16Aziz BehichD
- 5Matheus RossettoM
- 24Kavian RahmaniM
- 23Medin MemetiM
- 10Emiliano MarcondesM
- 11Awer MabilM
- 15Andrew NabboutF
- 7Mathew LeckieF
- 14Besian KutleshiD
- 4Liam BonetigD
- 19Quinn MacNicolM
- 77Takeshi KanamoriF
- 50Jonty BenfieldG
- 39Roland BallahF
- 20Lawrence ThomasG
- 36Panashe MadanhaD
- 33Germán FerreyraD
- 24Nathan BarrieD
- 17Jarrod CarluccioD
- 32Angus ThurgateM
- 8Dylan SciclunaM
- 14Nicolas MilanovićM
- 10Miguel Di PizioM
- 21Liam GillionM
- 26Brandon BorrelloF
- 11Atiya WaragaF
- 7Aydan HammondF
- 9Hiroshi IbusukiF
- 23Jordan HolmesG
- 35Marcus SavicD
- 6Steven UgarkovićM
- 27Jai RoseM
Form going into Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
A-League
- W2-1Sydney FC31 October 2026
- D1-1away to Melbourne Victory24 October 2026
- L1-3away to Auckland FC17 October 2026
Western Sydney Wanderers
A-League
- D0-0away to Macarthur FC31 October 2026
- W5-2Auckland FC24 October 2026
- D0-0away to Sydney FC16 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Melbourne City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers
- 4 April 2026Melbourne City 3–0 Western Sydney WanderersA-League
- 7 February 2026Western Sydney Wanderers 1–1 Melbourne CityA-League
- 18 October 2025Western Sydney Wanderers 1–1 Melbourne CityA-League
- 19 April 2025Western Sydney Wanderers 2–2 Melbourne CityA-League
- 30 November 2024Melbourne City 0–2 Western Sydney WanderersA-League
- 20 April 2024Western Sydney Wanderers 1–2 Melbourne CityA-League
Leading scorers: Melbourne City and Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
GoalsAssists
- A. Nabbout20
- E. Marcondes12
- Q. Macnicol10
Western Sydney Wanderers
GoalsAssists
- N. Milanovic20
- A. Waraga10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Melbourne City beat Western Sydney Wanderers 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Melbourne City at 40%. The goals: Matheus Rossetto 4' for Melbourne City, N. Milanovic 45' for Western Sydney Wanderers, A. Nabbout 62' for Melbourne City. Sent off: A. Mabil (Melbourne City) 65'.
How the call on Melbourne City v Western Sydney Wanderers has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 38% / 26% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 40% / 26% / 34%: the biggest move is Melbourne City's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Melbourne City win40%▲ +2
- Draw26%=
- Western Sydney Wanderers win34%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.