Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets A-League prediction & result
Final score: Perth Glory 2-1 Newcastle Jets.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Perth Glory, 24% draw, 34% Newcastle Jets — fair odds of 2.38, 4.17 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Perth Glory at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
Line-ups
- 29Daniel SolskyG
- 30Tadiwanashe KuzambaD
- 18Cher DengD
- 5Lachlan JacksonD
- 3Sam SuttonD
- 9Jaiden KucharskiM
- 16Lucas SciclunaM
- 27William FreneyM
- 7Stefan ColakovskiM
- 17Pieter JacobszF
- 25Sebastian DespotovskiF
- 11Sebastian KukuckaF
- 39Giovanni De AbreuM
- 21Matthew EllisD
- 24Andriano LebibD
- 8Jay O'SheaM
- 1Matt SuttonG
- 44Riley FoxeD
- 1James Nicholas DelianovG
- 39Thomas Kevin AquilinaD
- 5Joe ShaughnessyD
- 2Alex GrantD
- 23Daniel WilmeringD
- 14Max BurgessM
- 11Joe LolleyM
- 19Alexander BadolatoM
- 43Xavier BertoncelloM
- 9Nikolaos VergosF
- 8Patrick WoodF
- 6Zane SchreiberM
- 10Zach CloughM
- 22Joel BertolissioD
- 27Julian RecchiaM
- 28Will DobsonM
- 40Jordan BaylisG
- 17Ethan DebonoF
Form going into Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
A-League
- W4-0Adelaide United1 November 2026
- L1-2away to Brisbane Roar23 October 2026
- L1-2away to Macarthur FC17 October 2026
Newcastle Jets
A-League
- L0-3Wellington Phoenix31 October 2026
- D1-1Macarthur FC24 October 2026
- D2-2away to Central Coast Mariners17 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Perth Glory | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6 |
| 10 | Newcastle Jets | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
- 13 February 2026Perth Glory 1–3 Newcastle JetsA-League
- 23 November 2025Newcastle Jets 1–2 Perth GloryA-League
- 25 January 2025Newcastle Jets 2–2 Perth GloryA-League
- 14 December 2024Perth Glory 0–4 Newcastle JetsA-League
- 2 October 2024Perth Glory 2–0 Newcastle JetsFriendlies Clubs
- 29 September 2024Perth Glory 2–3 Newcastle JetsFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Perth Glory and Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
GoalsAssists
- J. Kucharski31
- M. Ellis20
Newcastle Jets
No player in A-League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Perth Glory beat Newcastle Jets 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Perth Glory at 42%. The goals: J. Kucharski 39' for Perth Glory, J. Kucharski 48' for Perth Glory, N. Vergos 90+2' for Newcastle Jets.
How the call on Perth Glory v Newcastle Jets has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 29% / 25% / 46% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 42% / 24% / 34%: the biggest move is Perth Glory's chance of winning, up 13 points.
- Perth Glory win42%▲ +13
- Draw24%▼ −1
- Newcastle Jets win34%▼ −12
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.