7 November 2026, 14:30 UTC

Skalica vs Žilina Super Liga prediction & result

Skalica
Referee: Peter Ziemba, Slovakia
Full time2 – 4

Final score: Skalica 2-4 Žilina.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Skalica, 25% draw, 47% Žilina — fair odds of 3.57, 4.00 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Žilina at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Skalica0%Draw1%Žilina99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Abdullahiassist: M. Ryzek
2'
8'
J. Albin
13'
⚽A. Narimanidzeassist: D. Homet Ruiz
35'
🔁K. Bariout: M. Traore
59'
⚽M. Faskoassist: M. Kacer
64'
🔁P. Ilkoout: F. Kosa
64'
🔁J. Albinout: M. Roginic
65'
⚽M. Faskoassist: F. Bzdyl
🔁M. Cernekout: S. Sula
72'
🔁M. Ryzekout: M. Masik
76'
🔁A. Abdullahiout: A. Krizan
76'
⚽E. Danielassist: A. Morong
79'
83'
🔁M. Faskoout: X. Adang
83'
🔁D. Homet Ruizout: K. Bilalovic
🔁L. Simkoout: R. Potocny
85'
🔁D. Barisout: E. Eshele
85'
87'
⚽X. Adangassist: M. Kacer

Match stats — Skalica vs Žilina

43%Possession57%
10Shots22
5On target7
2Corners6
1.15xG3.23

Goals against chances

Skalica2 from 1.15 xGmore than the chances were worth
Žilina4 from 3.23 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Skalica
  • 39M. Junas
  • 8L. Simko
  • 20O. Podhorin
  • 31F. Twardzik
  • 3M. Cernek
  • 5M. Ryzek
  • 27D. Baris
  • 23E. Daniel
  • 17P. Pudhorocky
  • 30A. Abdullahi
  • 9A. Morong
Substitutes
  • 1R. Ludha
  • 6P. Karhan
  • 13S. Sula
  • 21A. Ravas
  • 19M. Masik
  • 14M. Gulisek
  • 11A. Krizan
  • 91R. Potocny
  • 34E. Eshele
Coach: Stanislav Macek
Žilina
  • 31D. Sipos
  • 25J. Albin
  • 17J. Minarik
  • 28A. Narimanidze
  • 21T. Hranica
  • 66M. Kacer
  • 11F. Bzdyl
  • 20K. Bari
  • 23M. Fasko
  • 90D. Homet Ruiz
  • 16P. Ilko
Substitutes
  • 1J. Badzgon
  • 19M. Traore
  • 99K. Bilalovic
  • 6X. Adang
  • 95M. Roginic
  • 7F. Kosa
  • 9P. Baleja
Coach: Vladimir Vesely

Form going into Skalica vs Žilina

Skalica

Super Liga

  • L0-1away to Ružomberok1 November 2026
  • D1-1Spartak Trnava24 October 2026
  • L0-2AS Trencin17 October 2026
  • D1-1Slovan Bratislava10 October 2026

Žilina

Super Liga

  • W4-1Zemplín Michalovce31 October 2026
  • D2-2away to FK Košice25 October 2026
  • L2-3Dunajska Streda18 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Ružomberok11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Skalica did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Skalica conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Skalica had two goals or fewer.
  • Žilina scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Žilina conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Žilina had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Skalica142481528-1310
3Žilina148423727+1028

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Skalica vs Žilina

  • 9 August 2026Žilina 1–3 SkalicaSuper Liga
  • 25 November 2025Žilina 3–1 SkalicaCup
  • 25 October 2025Žilina 3–2 SkalicaSuper Liga
  • 27 July 2025Skalica 0–0 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 15 December 2024Skalica 0–0 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 14 September 2024Žilina 3–2 SkalicaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Skalica and Žilina

Skalica

GoalsAssists

  • Philip Onyedika31

Žilina

GoalsAssists

  • M. Faško61
  • T. Hranica31
  • D. Homet Ruiz30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Žilina won 4–2 at Skalica. The model had made a win for Žilina its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: A. Abdullahi 2' for Skalica, A. Narimanidze 13' for Žilina, M. Fasko 59' for Žilina, M. Fasko 65' for Žilina, E. Daniel 79' for Skalica, X. Adang 87' for Žilina. On expected goals it finished 1.15–3.23.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Skalica a 61.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 45.7% after a win, 62.0% after a draw, 70.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 70.1%, 8.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.