7 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice Super Liga prediction & result

MOL Arena, Dunajska Streda
Referee: Matej Choren, Slovakia
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Dunajska Streda 3-2 FK Košice.

Before kick-off the model made it 70% Dunajska Streda, 18% draw, 12% FK Košice — fair odds of 1.43, 5.56 and 8.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dunajska Streda at 70%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
⚽O. Kakayassist: M. Rehus
⚽M. Dimun (OG)
10'
20'
⚽A. Marasassist: M. Madlenak
•F. Blazek
45+2'
46'
🔁D. Gallovicout: K. Palumets
50'
O. Kakay
53'
M. Dimun
55'
🔁M. Rehusout: T. Seguchi
55'
🔁M. Dimunout: M. Sovic
69'
🔁A. Marasout: A. Kahvic
🔁J. Bationoout: P. Safranko
73'
⚽P. Safrankoassist: B. Csoka
79'
🔁M. Trusaout: A. Sylla
85'
⚽A. Ramadanassist: P. Safranko
86'
🔁G. Gaguaout: T. Kacharaba
89'
89'
🔁B. Damjanovicout: M. Mateas
90+3'
M. Sovic

Match stats — Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice

74%Possession26%
19Shots5
8On target2
9Corners1
3.11xG1.14

Goals against chances

Dunajska Streda3 from 3.11 xGabout what the chances were worth
FK Košice2 from 1.14 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Dunajska Streda
  • 1Filipe
  • 40B. Csoka
  • 26F. Blazek
  • 81K. Nemanic
  • 18S. Jukleroed
  • 44S. Ouro
  • 17J. Bationo
  • 30P. Owusu
  • 29G. Gagua
  • 10A. Ramadan
  • 46M. Trusa
Substitutes
  • 31A. Ivacic
  • 33T. Kacharaba
  • 22T. Kapanadze
  • 36N. Udvaros
  • 27F. Diongue
  • 16P. Safranko
  • 9A. Gruber
  • 7U. Kabic
  • 19A. Sylla
Coach: Robert Klauss
FK Košice
  • 22M. Kira
  • 29O. Kakay
  • 21D. Magda
  • 31T. Moore
  • 66B. Damjanovic
  • 23M. Madlenak
  • 77M. Rehus
  • 7M. Dimun
  • 6F. Lichy
  • 8D. Gallovic
  • 99A. Maras
Substitutes
  • 33F. Kalanin
  • 47L. Lukacevic
  • 18T. Durko
  • 80K. Palumets
  • 15M. Sovic
  • 44M. Mateas
  • 9T. Seguchi
  • 30A. Kahvic
  • 27M. Rabatin
Coach: Peter Cernak

Form going into Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice

Dunajska Streda

Super Liga

  • W2-0away to Dukla Banská Bystrica1 November 2026
  • W1-0away to FK Košice28 October 2026
  • W5-0Ružomberok24 October 2026
  • W3-2away to Žilina18 October 2026

FK Košice

Super Liga

  • W5-0away to AS Trencin31 October 2026
  • L0-1Dunajska Streda28 October 2026
  • D2-2Žilina25 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Zemplín Michalovce18 October 2026

What these results say

  • Dunajska Streda won every one of these 4 matches.
  • Dunajska Streda scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Dunajska Streda kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FK Košice failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FK Košice scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FK Košice conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Dunajska Streda141220429+3338
6FK Košice144643226+618

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice

  • 28 October 2026FK Košice 0–1 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
  • 4 March 2026FK Košice 4–0 Dunajska StredaCup
  • 1 November 2025Dunajska Streda 3–1 FK KošiceSuper Liga
  • 1 October 2025FK Košice 0–2 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
  • 20 April 2025Dunajska Streda 3–2 FK KošiceSuper Liga
  • 29 March 2025FK Košice 2–2 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Dunajska Streda and FK Košice

Dunajska Streda

GoalsAssists

  • Ammar Ramadan42
  • K. Nemanič21

FK Košice

GoalsAssists

  • Aleksa Maraš63
  • M. Sovič23
  • O. Kakay21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dunajska Streda beat FK Košice 3–2. The model had made a win for Dunajska Streda its most likely outcome, at 70%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: O. Kakay 7' for FK Košice, M. Dimun (own goal) 10' for Dunajska Streda, A. Maras 20' for FK Košice, P. Safranko 79' for Dunajska Streda, A. Ramadan 86' for Dunajska Streda. On expected goals it finished 3.11–1.14.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dunajska Streda a 95.2% chance to finish top of the regular season: 96.7% after a win, 91.8% after a draw, 89.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 96.7%, 1.5 points higher than before the match.

For FK Košice the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 84.0% going in: 94.0% after a win, 87.1% after a draw, 82.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 82.4%, 1.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Dunajska Streda v FK Košice has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 72% / 16% / 12% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 70% / 18% / 12%: the biggest move is Dunajska Streda's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Dunajska Streda win70%▼ −2
  2. Draw18%▲ +2
  3. FK Košice win12%=

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.