Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slovan Bratislava 2-2 AS Trencin.
Before kick-off the model made it 76% Slovan Bratislava, 16% draw, 8% AS Trencin — fair odds of 1.32, 6.25 and 12.50.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Slovak Super Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Slovan Bratislava at 76%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 71D. Takac
- 88D. Matsuoka
- 12K. Bajric
- 15S. Markovic
- 57S. Cruz
- 3P. Pokorny
- 11T. Barseghyan
- 5R. Ibrahim
- 8A. Gajdos
- 10N. Marcelli
- 99A. Sporar
- 1A. Popovic
- 2S. Kozlovsky
- 28C. Blackman
- 49S. Camara
- 70C. Martinez
- 20A. Mustafic
- 7L. Hofstadter
- 30A. Griger
- 29A. Maros
- 30M. Slavicek
- 2N. Jovanovic
- 33R. Krizan
- 29L. Bessile
- 25L. Skovajsa
- 8T. Hajovsky
- 93P. Gonzalez
- 14R. Sanusi
- 16C. Ansah
- 7Eynel Soares
- 21L. Mikulaj
- 91M. Jurak
- 40M. Garba
- 13J. Mulder
- 95P. Diouf
- 77J. Paur
- 18M. Poom
- 22D. Jepihhin
- 5F. Kasana
- 27F. Slovak
Form going into Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin
Slovan Bratislava
Super Liga
- W2-1away to Podbrezová31 October 2026
- W2-0away to AS Trencin28 October 2026
- D2-2Dukla Banská Bystrica24 October 2026
- W3-0away to Spartak Trnava17 October 2026
AS Trencin
Super Liga
- L0-5FK Košice31 October 2026
- L0-2Slovan Bratislava28 October 2026
- D0-0away to Komárno25 October 2026
- W2-0away to Skalica17 October 2026
What these results say
- Slovan Bratislava went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava won 3 of these 4 matches.
- AS Trencin failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- AS Trencin failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for AS Trencin had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Trencin | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin
- 28 October 2026AS Trencin 0–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 14 February 2026Slovan Bratislava 0–2 AS TrencinSuper Liga
- 27 September 2025AS Trencin 1–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 22 February 2025AS Trencin 1–1 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 4 February 2025Slovan Bratislava 3–1 AS TrencinCup
- 5 October 2024Slovan Bratislava 1–1 AS TrencinSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Slovan Bratislava and AS Trencin
Slovan Bratislava
GoalsAssists
- T. Barseghyan42
- Tag Eldin Ibrahim40
- Manasse Kianga22
AS Trencin
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slovan Bratislava and AS Trencin drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Slovan Bratislava at 76% and given a draw 16%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: C. Ansah 3' for AS Trencin, A. Gajdos 12' for Slovan Bratislava, A. Sporar 83' for Slovan Bratislava, M. Poom 88' for AS Trencin. On expected goals it finished 3.44–0.97.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Slovan Bratislava a 4.2% chance to finish top of the regular season: 4.6% after a win, 2.7% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 2.7%, 1.5 points lower than before the match.
For AS Trencin the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 86.8% going in: 69.2% after a win, 83.1% after a draw, 88.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 83.1%, 3.7 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Slovan Bratislava v AS Trencin has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 74% / 17% / 9% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 76% / 16% / 8%: the biggest move is Slovan Bratislava's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Slovan Bratislava win76%▲ +2
- Draw16%▼ −1
- AS Trencin win8%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.