Cruzeiro vs Remo Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Cruzeiro 1-0 Remo.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% Cruzeiro, 22% draw, 17% Remo — fair odds of 1.64, 4.55 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
All Brazilian Serie A predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Cruzeiro at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cruzeiro vs Remo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende CostaG
- 12WilliamD
- 15Fabrício BrunoD
- 34JonathanD
- 25L. VillalbaD
- 5Zé LucasM
- 29L. RomeroM
- 99K. ArroyoM
- 10Matheus PereiraM
- 8GersonM
- 19Kaio JorgeF
- 11MarquinhosF
- 20Wesley GassovaF
- 1CássioG
- 9Bruno RodriguesF
- 97L. RodríguezF
- 27G. RojasD
- 16Lucas SilvaM
- 22N. VillarealM
- 6M. ViñaD
- 88Marcelo RangelG
- 79MarcelinhoD
- 13MarllonD
- 27Zé IvaldoD
- 6MarlonD
- 28José WelisonM
- 8PatrickM
- 21A. GaleanoM
- 55Zé RicardoM
- 7Jája SilvaM
- 39Eduardo MeloF
- 14L. PiccoM
- 2Matheus AlexandreD
- 15Vitor BuenoF
- 20Andres Dionicio Moreno GonzalezF
- 97IvanG
- 18D. TchambaD
- 26David FranciscoM
- 94Ygor VinhasG
- 61Paulo Sérgio Da Costa Evangelista JuniorM
Form going into Cruzeiro vs Remo
Cruzeiro
Serie A
- W4-2away to Gremio18 October 2026
- L2-4away to RB Bragantino13 October 2026
Remo
Serie A
- D1-1RB Bragantino18 October 2026
- D0-0away to Vasco da Gama10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 48 | +7 | 60 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cruzeiro vs Remo
Cruzeiro and Remo have met 6 times in the records we hold, they have won 3 each.
The record
Cruzeiro won the last one 1–0 on 23 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Remo | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 11 goals, an average of 1.83 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 23 Oct 2026
Serie ACruzeiro 1–0 Remo - 25 Apr 2026
Serie ARemo 0–1 Cruzeiro - 12 May 2022
Copa Do BrasilCruzeiro 1–0 Remo - 20 Apr 2022
Copa Do BrasilRemo 2–1 Cruzeiro - 29 Oct 2021
Serie BCruzeiro 1–3 Remo - 20 Jul 2021
Serie BRemo 1–0 Cruzeiro
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Cruzeiro's attack rates 47% above Remo's, and Cruzeiro concede 18% fewer than Remo. That gives Cruzeiro the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
Leading scorers: Cruzeiro and Remo
Cruzeiro
GoalsAssists
- Kaio Jorge142
- Matheus Pereira97
Remo
GoalsAssists
- Jája Silva91
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Cruzeiro beat Remo 1–0. The model had made a win for Cruzeiro its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Fabrício Bruno 45+5' for Cruzeiro. On expected goals it finished 0.89–0.28.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Cruzeiro a 45.2% chance to finish in the top four: 52.2% after a win, 34.1% after a draw, 25.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 52.2%, 7 points higher than before the match.
For Remo the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 97.2% going in: 92.1% after a win, 97.1% after a draw, 98.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 98.5%, 1.3 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Serie A season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.