Hull City vs Ipswich Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Hull City 2-2 Ipswich.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Hull City, 26% draw, 30% Ipswich — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published
All Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Hull City at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hull City vs Ipswich
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 19K. TzolakisG
- 2L. CoyleD
- 6S. AjayiD
- 15J. EganD
- 32N. MendyD
- 3R. GilesD
- 10M. BelloumiM
- 42T. IroegbunamM
- 27R. SlaterM
- 21E. StroudM
- 9O. McBurnieF
- 50M. ChoF
- 36C. MouzakitisM
- 25M. CrooksM
- 18B. Norton-CuffyD
- 11J. GelhardtF
- 5H. MoritaM
- 22L. HerringtonD
- 17P. McNairD
- 12D. PhillipsG
- 28C. WaltonG
- 42A. OuattaraD
- 26D. O'SheaD
- 6I. DiopD
- 3L. DavisD
- 12FlorentinoM
- 25E. PalaciosM
- 7A. FatawuM
- 10J. EncisoM
- 11J. PhilogeneM
- 19EmersonnF
- 38D. MaedaF
- 9Z. FlemmingF
- 37K. ScherpenG
- 2D. FurlongD
- 24J. GreavesD
- 5A. MatusiwaM
- 32M. NúñezM
- 47J. ClarkeF
- 29C. AkpomF
Form going into Hull City vs Ipswich
Hull City
Premier League
- D1-1Brentford25 October 2026
- L0-1away to Fulham17 October 2026
- D2-2Everton11 October 2026
Ipswich
Premier League
- D1-1Nottingham Forest23 October 2026
- L2-3away to Manchester City17 October 2026
- W2-1Fulham10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hull City vs Ipswich
Hull City and Ipswich have met 7 times in the records we hold, Ipswich has won 4 of them to Hull City's 1, with 2 drawn.
The record
They drew 2–2 at Hull City on 31 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 20 goals, an average of 2.86 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 31 Oct 2026
Premier LeagueHull City 2–2 Ipswich - 3 Mar 2026
ChampionshipIpswich 1–0 Hull City - 25 Nov 2025
ChampionshipHull City 0–2 Ipswich - 27 Apr 2024
ChampionshipHull City 3–3 Ipswich - 3 Oct 2023
ChampionshipIpswich 3–0 Hull City - 23 Feb 2021
League OneHull City 0–1 Ipswich - 24 Nov 2020
League OneIpswich 0–3 Hull City
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Ipswich's attack rates 28% above Hull City's, and Hull City concede 31% fewer than Ipswich. How the ratings are derived.
Leading scorers: Hull City and Ipswich
Hull City
GoalsAssists
- M. Belloumi32
Ipswich
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hull City and Ipswich drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Hull City at 44% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Florentino Luís 22' for Ipswich, Tim Iroegbunam 58' for Hull City, Oliver McBurnie 68' for Hull City, Julio Enciso 74' for Ipswich. On expected goals it finished 0.76–1.08.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hull City a 9.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 6.7% after a win, 9.0% after a draw, 11.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 9.0%.
For Ipswich the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 20.2% going in: 14.7% after a win, 19.6% after a draw, 22.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 19.6%, 0.6 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Hull City v Ipswich has moved
First published on 17 Oct at 48% / 26% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 44% / 26% / 30%: the biggest move is Hull City's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Hull City win44%▼ −4
- Draw26%=
- Ipswich win30%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.