31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Aluminij vs Radomlje 1. SNL prediction & result

Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo
Referee: D. Sabanagic
Full time5 – 0

Final score: Aluminij 5-0 Radomlje.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Aluminij, 25% draw, 24% Radomlje — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Aluminij at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Aluminij99%Draw1%Radomlje0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•
11'
12'
A. Bosec
⚽B. Osuji
15'
37'
S. Bangura
M. Vrbanec
37'
⚽H. Sorensen
43'
46'
🔁B. Anzeljout: B. Burcul
46'
🔁J. Balicout: D. Kantuzer
62'
🔁D. Ikennaout: V. Pelko
🔁P. Petriskoout: S. Rogina
69'
75'
🔁N. Marinsekout: J. Jelen
⚽R. Schaubach
78'
🔁B. Osujiout: R. Ramsak
79'
81'
🔁M. Zaperout: D. Mazreku
⚽R. Ramsak
85'
🔁T. Jagicout: M. Blazic
88'
🔁B. Sussoout: A. Bloudek
88'
🔁M. Vrbanecout: M. Mladenovic
88'
⚽A. Bloudek
90+1'

Form going into Aluminij vs Radomlje

Aluminij

1. SNL

  • D0-0away to Nafta28 October 2026
  • L0-1Olimpija Ljubljana16 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Celje10 October 2026

Radomlje

1. SNL

  • D1-1Mura27 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Bravo17 October 2026
  • D3-3Koper10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Aluminij154562114+717
10Radomlje141581631-158

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Aluminij vs Radomlje

  • 16 August 2026Radomlje 1–3 Aluminij1. SNL
  • 3 April 2026Aluminij 1–2 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 30 January 2026Radomlje 2–1 Aluminij1. SNL
  • 26 September 2025Aluminij 2–1 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 18 July 2025Radomlje 1–2 Aluminij1. SNL
  • 15 April 2024Aluminij 1–1 Radomlje1. SNL

The result against the call

Aluminij beat Radomlje 5–0. The model had made a win for Aluminij its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: B. Osuji 15' for Aluminij, H. Sorensen 43' for Aluminij, R. Schaubach 78' for Aluminij, R. Ramsak 85' for Aluminij, A. Bloudek 90+1' for Aluminij.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Aluminij a 4.8% chance to finish in the bottom one: 3.0% after a win, 5.7% after a draw, 7.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 3.0%, 1.8 points lower than before the match.

For Radomlje the question was the chance to finish in the bottom one, 43.7% going in: 34.5% after a win, 43.9% after a draw, 47.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 47.3%, 3.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. SNL season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.