Brentford vs Nottingham Forest Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Brentford 2-0 Nottingham Forest.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Brentford, 27% draw, 27% Nottingham Forest — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
All Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Brentford at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brentford vs Nottingham Forest
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1C. KelleherG
- 33M. KayodeD
- 20K. AjerD
- 4S. van den BergD
- 23K. Lewis-PotterD
- 18M. SangaréM
- 27V. JaneltM
- 8M. JensenM
- 11D. OuattaraF
- 9ThiagoF
- 7K. SchadeF
- 12H. ValdimarssonG
- 2A. HickeyD
- 22N. CollinsD
- 25E. DioufD
- 44Jannik SchusterD
- 24M. DamsgaardM
- 19J. AnthonyF
- 13C. WilsonF
- 39Gustavo GomesF
- 26M. SelsG
- 23JairD
- 31N. MilenkovićD
- 5MurilloD
- 34O. AinaM
- 24J. McAteeM
- 21X. SchlagerM
- 3N. WilliamsM
- 10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
- 14D. NdoyeM
- 19L. DelapF
- 15A. KalimuendoF
- 9C. WoodF
- 7C. Hudson-OdoiF
- 22R. YatesM
- 6I. SangaréM
- 27D. MuñozD
- 25L. NetzD
- 2O. DiomandeD
- 12JohnG
Form going into Brentford vs Nottingham Forest
Brentford
Premier League
- D1-1away to Hull City25 October 2026
- L1-2Liverpool17 October 2026
- D2-2away to Aston Villa10 October 2026
Nottingham Forest
Premier League
- D1-1away to Ipswich23 October 2026
- L0-1Arsenal18 October 2026
- L1-3away to Crystal Palace11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 14 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Brentford vs Nottingham Forest
Brentford and Nottingham Forest have met 7 times in the records we hold, they have won 3 each, with 1 drawn.
The record
Brentford won the last one 2–0 on 31 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 |
| Nottingham Forest | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 19 goals, an average of 2.71 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 31 Oct 2026
Premier LeagueBrentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest - 25 Jan 2026
Premier LeagueBrentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest - 17 Aug 2025
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest 3–1 Brentford - 1 May 2025
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest 0–2 Brentford - 21 Dec 2024
Premier LeagueBrentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest - 20 Jan 2024
Premier LeagueBrentford 3–2 Nottingham Forest - 1 Oct 2023
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest 1–1 Brentford
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Brentford's attack rates 22% above Nottingham Forest's, and the two defences are almost level. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| Nottingham Forest | 0.93 | 0.87 |
Leading scorers: Brentford and Nottingham Forest
Brentford
GoalsAssists
- K. Schade30
Nottingham Forest
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Brentford beat Nottingham Forest 2–0. The model had made a win for Brentford its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Nikola Milenković (own goal) 30' for Brentford, Igor Thiago 76' for Brentford. On expected goals it finished 0.51–0.87.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Brentford a 11.8% chance to finish in the top four: 13.9% after a win, 10.3% after a draw, 8.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.9%, 2.1 points higher than before the match.
For Nottingham Forest the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 20.8% going in: 14.4% after a win, 20.1% after a draw, 23.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.6%, 2.8 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.