28 October 2026, 17:30 UTC

Venezia vs Inter Serie A prediction & result

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Referee: Luca J. Pairetto
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Venezia 0-2 Inter.

Before kick-off the model made it 10% Venezia, 17% draw, 73% Inter — fair odds of 10.00, 5.88 and 1.37.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published

Has the model earned this number?

Inter at 73%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

28'
Alessandro Bastoni
•Lion Lauberbach
29'
45'
🔁Aleksandar Stankovicout: Hakan Çalhanoğlu
45'
🔁Petar Sučićout: Nicolò Barella
45'
🔁Yann Bisseckout: Manuel Akanji
56'
Nicolò Barella
🔁Enrique Pérez Muñozout: Gianluca Busio
61'
65'
🔁Ange-Yoan Bonnyout: Pio Esposito
🔁Thorir Johann Helgasonout: Toma Bašić
68'
🔁Lion Lauberbachout: John Yeboah
68'
🔁Pasquale Mazzocchiout: Ridgeciano Haps
76'
79'
⚽Matias Moreno (OG)
82'
⚽Redouane Halhal (OG)
86'
🔁Marcus Thuramout: Djed Spence

Match stats — Venezia vs Inter

34%Possession66%
12Shots16
4On target2
3Corners6
1.56xG2.08

Goals against chances

Venezia0 from 1.56 xGless than the chances were worth
Inter2 from 2.08 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Venezia 3-5-2
  • 1F. StankovićG
  • 25R. HalhalD
  • 2M. MorenoD
  • 15Juan JesusD
  • 18A. HainautM
  • 71Kike PérezM
  • 19S. SohmM
  • 21Þ. HelgasonM
  • 70P. MazzocchiM
  • 45A. AdamsF
  • 29L. LauberbachF
Substitutes
  • 10J. YeboahF
  • 17A. Bella-KotchapD
  • 26T. BašićM
  • 6G. BusioM
  • 30M. DagassoM
  • 32A. DuncanM
  • 8Lamine DaboM
  • 77Toni FernándezM
  • 5R. HapsD
Coach: D. Nicola
Inter 3-5-2
  • 49I. ProvedelG
  • 31Y. BisseckD
  • 95A. BastoniD
  • 30Carlos AugustoD
  • 17A. DioufM
  • 8P. SučićM
  • 5A. StankovićM
  • 7P. ZielińskiM
  • 32F. DimarcoM
  • 9M. ThuramF
  • 14A. BonnyF
Substitutes
  • 99D. SpenceD
  • 48M. MosconiF
  • 22H. MkhitaryanM
  • 1Josep MartínezG
  • 53M. LavelliF
  • 51L. JakirovićD
  • 94F. EspositoF
  • 12R. Di GennaroG
  • 20H. ÇalhanoğluM
Coach: C. Chivu

Form going into Venezia vs Inter

Venezia

Serie A

  • L0-1away to Genoa25 October 2026
  • W1-0Napoli17 October 2026

Inter

Serie A

  • W2-1Fiorentina25 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Bologna17 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
19Venezia11209821-136
2Inter119112813+1528

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Inter vs Venezia

Inter and Venezia have met 6 times in the records we hold, Inter has won 6 of them to Venezia's 0.

The record

Inter won the last one 2–0 on 28 Oct 2026.

ClubWDLGFGA
Inter600132
Venezia006213

Between them these 6 meetings produced 15 goals, an average of 2.50 a game.

Every meeting

Every recorded meeting, newest first.

  • 28 Oct 2026
    Serie A    Venezia 0–2 Inter
  • 3 Dec 2025
    Coppa Italia    Inter 5–1 Venezia
  • 12 Jan 2025
    Serie A    Venezia 0–1 Inter
  • 3 Nov 2024
    Serie A    Inter 1–0 Venezia
  • 22 Jan 2022
    Serie A    Inter 2–1 Venezia
  • 27 Nov 2021
    Serie A    Venezia 0–2 Inter

How the model rates them now

On the current ratings, Inter's attack rates 163% above Venezia's, and Inter concede 32% fewer than Venezia. That gives Inter the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.

ClubAttackDefence
Inter1.790.73
Venezia0.681.08

More head-to-heads on this week’s board →

Leading scorers: Venezia and Inter

Venezia

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Inter

GoalsAssists

  • M. Thuram62

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Inter won 2–0 at Venezia. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Inter at 73%. The goals: Matias Moreno (own goal) 79' for Inter, Redouane Halhal (own goal) 82' for Inter. On expected goals it finished 1.56–2.08.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Venezia a 79.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 73.3% after a win, 76.7% after a draw, 81.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 81.1%, 1.3 points higher than before the match.

For Inter the question was the chance to win the league, 48.3% going in: 49.7% after a win, 45.1% after a draw, 37.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 49.7%, 1.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Serie A season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Venezia v Inter has moved

First published on 14 Oct at 8% / 13% / 79% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 10% / 17% / 73%: the biggest move is Inter's chance of winning, down 6 points.

  1. Venezia win10%▲ +2
  2. Draw17%▲ +4
  3. Inter win73%▼ −6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.