Galatasaray vs Göztepe Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Galatasaray 3-2 Göztepe.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Galatasaray, 20% draw, 17% Göztepe — fair odds of 1.59, 5.00 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Galatasaray at 63% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Galatasaray vs Göztepe
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 24J. YilmazG
- 7R. SallaiD
- 6D. SanchezD
- 42A. BardakciD
- 4I. JakobsD
- 34L. TorreiraM
- 99M. LeminaM
- 11Y. AkgunM
- 8Gabriel SaraM
- 53B. YilmazM
- 45V. OsimhenF
- 1U. CakirG
- 90W. SingoD
- 17E. ElmaliD
- 23K. AyhanD
- 91A. UnyayD
- 20I. GundoganM
- 18L. UgochukwuM
- 83A. BatrakovM
- 74R. NhagaM
- 25L. GugeshashviliG
- 4T. AltikardesD
- 13E. YildirimD
- 26M. BokeleD
- 2A. KurtulanM
- 20N. MiroshiM
- 5RhaldneyM
- 12R. Akonnor
- 10E. BekirogluF
- 7Andre HenriqueF
- 39JandersonF
- 1A. OzcimenG
- 33S. OzturkG
- 16O. BayrakD
- 6A. MatosM
- 9JuanF
- 22S. ArmstrongF
- 14B. BokeF
Form going into Galatasaray vs Göztepe
Galatasaray
- W4-0away to Erzurumspor FK21 August 2026
- D2-2Çorum FK14 August 2026
Göztepe
- L0-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.23 August 2026
- D3-3away to Samsunspor17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 13 |
| 18 | Göztepe | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Galatasaray vs Göztepe
- 29 August 2026Galatasaray 3–2 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 8 April 2026Göztepe 1–3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 26 October 2025Galatasaray 3–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 24 May 2025Göztepe 0–2 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 4 January 2025Galatasaray 2–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 21 February 2022Göztepe 2–3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
Leading scorers: Galatasaray and Göztepe
Galatasaray
- V. Osimhen6 goals2 assists
- Gabriel Sara2 goals2 assists
Göztepe
- Juan4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.