Galatasaray vs Göztepe Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Galatasaray 3-2 Göztepe.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Galatasaray, 20% draw, 17% Göztepe — fair odds of 1.59, 5.00 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Galatasaray at 63%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Galatasaray vs Göztepe
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 24J. YilmazG
- 7R. SallaiD
- 6D. SanchezD
- 42A. BardakciD
- 4I. JakobsD
- 34L. TorreiraM
- 99M. LeminaM
- 11Y. AkgunM
- 8Gabriel SaraM
- 53B. YilmazM
- 45V. OsimhenF
- 1U. CakirG
- 90W. SingoD
- 17E. ElmaliD
- 23K. AyhanD
- 91A. UnyayD
- 20I. GundoganM
- 18L. UgochukwuM
- 83A. BatrakovM
- 74R. NhagaM
- 25L. GugeshashviliG
- 4T. AltikardesD
- 13E. YildirimD
- 26M. BokeleD
- 2A. KurtulanM
- 20N. MiroshiM
- 5RhaldneyM
- 12R. Akonnor
- 10E. BekirogluF
- 7Andre HenriqueF
- 39JandersonF
- 1A. OzcimenG
- 33S. OzturkG
- 16O. BayrakD
- 6A. MatosM
- 9JuanF
- 22S. ArmstrongF
- 14B. BokeF
Form going into Galatasaray vs Göztepe
Galatasaray
All competitions we cover
- W4-0away to Erzurumspor FK21 August 2026
- D2-2Çorum FK14 August 2026
Göztepe
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.23 August 2026
- D3-3away to Samsunspor17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 28 |
| 10 | Göztepe | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Galatasaray vs Göztepe
- 8 April 2026Göztepe 1–3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 26 October 2025Galatasaray 3–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 24 May 2025Göztepe 0–2 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 4 January 2025Galatasaray 2–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 21 February 2022Göztepe 2–3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
Leading scorers: Galatasaray and Göztepe
Galatasaray
GoalsAssists
- V. Osimhen93
Göztepe
GoalsAssists
- Juan71
- André Henrique41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Galatasaray beat Göztepe 3–2. The model had made a win for Galatasaray its most likely outcome, at 63%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: N. Miroshi 16' for Göztepe, D. Sanchez 33' for Galatasaray, Gabriel Sara 55' for Galatasaray, V. Osimhen (penalty) 63' for Galatasaray, Juan 65' for Göztepe. On expected goals it finished 2.87–0.63.