29 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Full time4 – 1

Final score: 1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% 1. FC Nürnberg, 23% draw, 26% Arminia Bielefeld — fair odds of 1.96, 4.35 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts 1. FC Nürnberg at 51% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld

1. FC Nürnberg

  • W4-2away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth15 August 2026
  • W3-0Dynamo Dresden9 August 2026

Arminia Bielefeld

  • W3-0Energie Cottbus16 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Karlsruher SC8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
21. FC Nürnberg5410156+913
14Arminia Bielefeld5113810-24

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld

  • 18 April 2026Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
  • 23 November 20251. FC Nürnberg 2–0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • 19 July 2025Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 1. FC NürnbergFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 March 2023Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 FC Nurnberg2. Bundesliga
  • 9 September 2022FC Nurnberg 1–0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • 6 June 2020Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 FC Nurnberg2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: 1. FC Nürnberg and Arminia Bielefeld

1. FC Nürnberg

  • M. Zoma5 goals
  • J. Justvan3 goals1 assists
  • P. Scobel3 goals1 assists

Arminia Bielefeld

  • J. Grodowski4 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.