Karlsruher SC vs VfL Wolfsburg 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Karlsruher SC 2-5 VfL Wolfsburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Karlsruher SC, 27% draw, 41% VfL Wolfsburg — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
VfL Wolfsburg at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Karlsruher SC vs VfL Wolfsburg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1C. BernatG
- 2S. JungD
- 28M. FrankeD
- 22C. KobaldD
- 3D. OfliD
- 7K. WiethaupM
- 6S. VaananenM
- 10M. WanitzekM
- 33V. BerghM
- 13S. FukudaF
- 19L. Ben FarhatF
- 30R. HimmelmannG
- 24S. TremouletD
- 15P. SchollD
- 25L. EgloffM
- 26D. H. ZorM
- 23T. CivejaM
- 37J. Ponente-RamirezF
- 11N. EichingerF
- 27J. D. MeyerF
- 30J. ZielinskiG
- 2K. FischerD
- 6H. WahlD
- 22M. AngelyD
- 21J. MaehleD
- 20M. DamarM
- 5Vini SouzaM
- 37E. RexhbecajM
- 17A. BernhardssonF
- 7K. ShiogaiF
- 11F. ReeseF
- 12P. PervanG
- 18J. AdjeteyD
- 33CleitonD
- 27M. ArnoldM
- 31Y. GerhardtM
- 32M. SvanbergM
- 14P. HenselM
- 19R. GlatzelF
- 23A. BesioF
Form going into Karlsruher SC vs VfL Wolfsburg
Karlsruher SC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to 1. FC Kaiserslautern15 August 2026
- W2-1Arminia Bielefeld8 August 2026
VfL Wolfsburg
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Hannover 9616 August 2026
- D0-01. FC Kaiserslautern8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 11 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 16 | +10 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Karlsruher SC vs VfL Wolfsburg
- 3 August 2013Karlsruher SC 1–3 VfL WolfsburgDFB Pokal
Leading scorers: Karlsruher SC and VfL Wolfsburg
Karlsruher SC
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
VfL Wolfsburg
GoalsAssists
- F. Reese57
- R. Glatzel51
- A. Bernhardsson43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
VfL Wolfsburg won 5–2 at Karlsruher SC. The model had made a win for VfL Wolfsburg its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: S. Fukuda 7' for Karlsruher SC, A. Bernhardsson 10' for VfL Wolfsburg, M. Wanitzek 12' for Karlsruher SC, F. Reese 28' for VfL Wolfsburg, Vini Souza 45' for VfL Wolfsburg, H. Wahl 88' for VfL Wolfsburg, F. Reese 90' for VfL Wolfsburg. On expected goals it finished 1.59–3.03.