29 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor Süper Lig prediction & result

Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Gaziantep FK 1-2 Rizespor.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Gaziantep FK, 25% draw, 32% Rizespor — fair odds of 2.33, 4.00 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Gaziantep FK at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
⚽E. Bulutassist: M. Pala
35'
⚽A. Soweassist: E. Bulut
🔁F. Bavukout: S. Dursun
40'
60'
Attila Mocsi
64'
🔁E. Bulutout: V. Mihaila
🔁F. Stefanout: K. Calhanoglu
65'
🔁S. Hansenout: E. Kulasin
65'
Enver Kulašin
72'
84'
🔁T. Antalyaliout: M. Diakite
84'
🔁I. Olawoyinout: D. Varesanovic
89'
🔁A. Kutucuout: T. T. Sanuc
89'
🔁A. Soweout: I. Doicaru
90+2'
Dal Varešanović
⚽Z. Ariss (OG)
90'

Match stats — Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor

56%Possession44%
16Shots10
4On target4
8Corners0
0.79xG1.17

Goals against chances

Gaziantep FK1 from 0.79 xGabout what the chances were worth
Rizespor2 from 1.17 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Gaziantep FK 5-4-1
  • 25K. TobiaszG
  • 18D. SorescuD
  • 2L. PerezD
  • 14M. AbenaD
  • 6U. MelekeD
  • 96F. StefanD
  • 10K. KozlowskiM
  • 8V. Gidado
  • 44A. MaximM
  • 22S. HansenM
  • 97F. BavukF
Substitutes
  • 81C. AslanG
  • 23K. CalhanogluD
  • 77S. DesticiD
  • 4A. KizildagD
  • 61O. OzcicekM
  • 83M. MujdeciD
  • 19S. DursunF
  • 11M. CihanM
  • 27E. KulasinF
Coach: Mirel Radoi
Rizespor 4-1-4-1
  • 75Y. FofanaG
  • 54M. PalaD
  • 4A. MocsiD
  • 93M. SagnanD
  • 17Z. ArissD
  • 14T. AntalyaliM
  • 23A. KutucuM
  • 20Q. LaciM
  • 10I. OlawoyinM
  • 99E. BulutM
  • 9A. SoweF
Substitutes
  • 30Z. GorgenG
  • 5T. T. SanucD
  • 37T. SahinD
  • 21S. BakayokoD
  • 19U. ErdemD
  • 6M. DiakiteM
  • 8D. VaresanovicM
  • 11A. MebudeF
  • 79I. DoicaruF
Coach: Recep Ucar

Form going into Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor

Gaziantep FK

  • W1-0away to Eyüpspor23 August 2026
  • D1-1Alanyaspor15 August 2026

Rizespor

  • L0-2Samsunspor22 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Konyaspor15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Gaziantep FK522175+28
5Rizespor530254+19

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor

  • 29 August 2026Gaziantep FK 1–2 RizesporSüper Lig
  • 13 April 2026Rizespor 2–1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • 17 December 2025Rizespor 5–2 Gaziantep FKTürkiye Kupası
  • 8 November 2025Gaziantep FK 2–2 RizesporSüper Lig
  • 3 May 2025Rizespor 2–0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • 9 December 2024Gaziantep FK 1–0 RizesporSüper Lig

Leading scorers: Gaziantep FK and Rizespor

Gaziantep FK

  • D. Sorescu2 goals
  • K. Kozłowski2 goals

Rizespor

  • E. Bulut2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.