12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC

1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga prediction & result

SNP Arena, Sinsheim
Full time2 – 1

Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% 1899 Hoffenheim, 28% draw, 30% VfB Stuttgart — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts 1899 Hoffenheim at 42% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

1899 Hoffenheim96%Draw4%VfB Stuttgart0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Adam Hložekassist: Bambasé Conté
13'
35'
🔁Angelo Stillerout: Yanik Spalt
•Adam Hložek
45+4'
48'
⚽Maximilian Mittelstädt
🔁Bambasé Contéout: Patrick Wimmer
55'
Wouter Burger
63'
65'
🔁Chris Führichout: Bilal El Khannouss
65'
🔁Ermedin Demirovićout: Deniz Undav
⚽Adam Hložekassist: Adam Daghim
67'
🔁Vladimír Coufalout: Valentin Gendrey
69'
🔁Mats Rotsout: Koki Machida
69'
81'
🔁Ramon Hendriksout: Leo Sauer
81'
🔁Josha Vagnomanout: Jamie Leweling
🔁Adam Hložekout: Andrej Kramarić
82'
🔁Tim Lemperleout: Fisnik Asllani
82'

Match stats — 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart

43%Possession57%
20Shots16
8On target5
5Corners7

Line-ups

1899 Hoffenheim 4-4-2
  • 1O. BaumannG
  • 34V. CoufalD
  • 5O. KabakD
  • 21A. HajdariD
  • 39M. RotsD
  • 20B. ContéM
  • 7L. AvdullahuM
  • 18W. BurgerM
  • 14A. DaghimM
  • 10A. HložekF
  • 19T. LemperleF
Substitutes
  • 11F. AsllaniF
  • 17Nathan De CatM
  • 15V. GendreyD
  • 2R. HranáčD
  • 27A. KramarićF
  • 28K. MachidaD
  • 9Max MoerstedtF
  • 37L. PhilippG
  • 8P. WimmerM
Coach: C. Ilzer
VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1
  • 1F. BredlowG
  • 29Finn JeltschD
  • 24J. ChabotD
  • 3R. HendriksD
  • 4J. VagnomanM
  • 21G. PrömelM
  • 6A. StillerM
  • 7M. MittelstädtM
  • 9E. DemirovićM
  • 10C. FührichM
  • 17D. PejčinovićF
Substitutes
  • 16A. KarazorM
  • 18J. LewelingF
  • 44L. SauerF
  • 47Y. SpaltD
  • 20L. StergiouD
  • 26D. UndavF
  • 11B. El KhannoussM
  • 33M. FunkG
  • 37Maximilian Tobias HerwerthD
Coach: S. Hoeneb

Form going into 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart

1899 Hoffenheim

  • L2-3Borussia Dortmund5 September 2026
  • L2-3away to 1. FC Köln29 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart

  • W4-11. FC Köln4 September 2026
  • L1-5away to Bayern München28 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
131899 Hoffenheim310267-13
14VfB Stuttgart310268-23

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart

  • 12 September 20261899 Hoffenheim 2–1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
  • 2 May 20261899 Hoffenheim 3–3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
  • 20 December 2025VfB Stuttgart 0–0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
  • 23 February 20251899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
  • 6 October 2024VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
  • 16 March 20241899 Hoffenheim 0–3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga

Leading scorers: 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart

1899 Hoffenheim

  • A. Hložek2 goals

VfB Stuttgart

  • J. Vagnoman2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.