Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Aberdeen 0-0 Kilmarnock.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Aberdeen, 28% draw, 31% Kilmarnock — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Aberdeen at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
Line-ups
- 27M. MüllerG
- 28C. CaddenD
- 23L. MayoD
- 26D. HappeD
- 24N. Guinness-WalkerD
- 32A. AremuM
- 11L. SmithM
- 17S. ArmstrongM
- 7Tony YoganeM
- 31M. NteloF
- 15K. NisbetF
- 10A. BriedlM
- 30D. KleinG
- 5M. KnoesterD
- 40F. MarshallM
- 22J. MilneD
- 21G. MolloyD
- 9A. MoulouaF
- 20T. OlusanyaF
- 18A. PalaversaM
- 1M. StryjekG
- 2J. BrandonD
- 4C. McCarthyD
- 14G. StangerD
- 21M. Schjønning-LarsenD
- 36A. TshibolaM
- 11G. KiltieM
- 18T. LoweryM
- 8E. RingM
- 29D. DanielsF
- 9J. HugillF
- 20N. CleșcencoF
- 3Michael-John Kamson-KamaraD
- 7R. McKenzieM
- 19J. MeierD
- 5M. O'HaraM
- 49B. RiceM
- 12C. FerrieG
- 10T. John-JulesF
- 27I. OwenF
Form going into Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Celtic2 September 2026
- L0-1Rangers30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Dundee8 August 2026
- W2-1Heart of Midlothian1 August 2026
Kilmarnock
All competitions we cover
- L0-1St Mirren2 September 2026
- L0-4Dundee United29 August 2026
- L1-5Celtic9 August 2026
- L3-4away to St Johnstone2 August 2026
What these results say
- Aberdeen conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Aberdeen failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Aberdeen failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kilmarnock did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Kilmarnock conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Kilmarnock had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aberdeen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
- 25 April 2026Aberdeen 1–0 KilmarnockPremiership
- 31 January 2026Kilmarnock 3–0 AberdeenPremiership
- 14 December 2025Aberdeen 2–1 KilmarnockPremiership
- 29 October 2025Kilmarnock 0–1 AberdeenPremiership
- 22 February 2025Aberdeen 1–0 KilmarnockPremiership
Leading scorers: Aberdeen and Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
GoalsAssists
- K. Nisbet43
Kilmarnock
GoalsAssists
- G. Kiltie30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Aberdeen and Kilmarnock drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Aberdeen at 41% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.