Rangers vs Motherwell Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Rangers 1-0 Motherwell.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Rangers, 27% draw, 34% Motherwell — fair odds of 2.56, 3.70 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Rangers at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rangers vs Motherwell
Line-ups
- 1I. PandurG
- 21D. SterlingD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 29J. PenriceD
- 43N. RaskinM
- 6D. NeilM
- 52Findlay CurtisM
- 10Minsu KimM
- 23D. GassamaM
- 7L. ShanklandF
- 17D. YokotaM
- 20R. NaderiF
- 2R. McCrorieD
- 19K. KelsyF
- 31L. KellyG
- 4B. GodfreyD
- 22V. DragojevićM
- 14C. DevlinM
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 7T. SparrowD
- 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
- 5M. MoormannD
- 45M. EmmanuelD
- 71J. HodgeM
- 8L. FadingerM
- 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM
- 11A. LowryM
- 19I. SaidM
- 17R. Charles-CookF
- 20Dylan WilliamsD
- 77W. VogtF
- 47S. Palmer-HouldenF
- 21M. ConnellyG
- 63D. LevittM
- 4Jamie Knight-LebelD
- 13J. KangaM
- 15E. BjörgólfssonF
- 2S. O'DonnellD
Form going into Rangers vs Motherwell
Rangers
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Falkirk2 September 2026
- W1-0away to Aberdeen30 August 2026
- L0-1away to FK Jablonec27 August 2026
- W1-0FK Jablonec20 August 2026
- D1-1Jagiellonia13 August 2026
Motherwell
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Dundee United2 September 2026
- D3-3away to St Mirren30 August 2026
- L1-4away to SC Freiburg27 August 2026
- L1-3SC Freiburg20 August 2026
- W2-0HJK Helsinki13 August 2026
What these results say
- Rangers scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Rangers had two goals or fewer.
- Motherwell scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Motherwell had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rangers | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 27 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rangers vs Motherwell
- 26 April 2026Rangers 2–3 MotherwellPremiership
- 11 February 2026Motherwell 1–1 RangersPremiership
- 27 December 2025Rangers 1–0 MotherwellPremiership
- 2 August 2025Motherwell 1–1 RangersPremiership
- 1 March 2025Rangers 1–2 MotherwellPremiership
Leading scorers: Rangers and Motherwell
Rangers
GoalsAssists
- R. Naderi63
- K. Kelsy40
Motherwell
GoalsAssists
- A. Lowry31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rangers beat Motherwell 1–0. The model had made a win for Rangers its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Ryan Naderi 12' for Rangers.
How the call on Rangers v Motherwell has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 27% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 39% / 27% / 34%: the biggest move is Rangers's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Rangers win39%▼ −4
- Draw27%=
- Motherwell win34%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.