Dundee United vs Falkirk Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Dundee United 1-1 Falkirk.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Dundee United, 30% draw, 30% Falkirk — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Dundee United at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dundee United vs Falkirk
Line-ups
- 1J. WaltonG
- 23J. RawlinsD
- 3B. EsselinkD
- 18M. ForbesD
- 19K. CiubotaruD
- 8Panutche CamaráM
- 10D. TaitM
- 16L. CameronM
- 7M. MerghemF
- 9Z. SapsfordF
- 77D. BennieF
- 14Zidane IqbalM
- 93I. MetsokoF
- 15L. RoseF
- 21J. RandallF
- 22D. NaamoD
- 30J. AmissahG
- 20N. FarrugiaF
- 4I. IovuD
- 26Abdoulaye YoroM
- 19S. BainG
- 22R. StrainD
- 15L. NeilsonD
- 5L. HendersonD
- 3L. McCannD
- 8B. SpencerM
- 16Finley Frank BarbrookM
- 23E. RossM
- 28B. KrauhausM
- 42Owen EamesM
- 24J. MurrellF
- 99C. FodreyM
- 1N. HogarthG
- 9R. MacIverF
- 4J. McMillanD
- 21D. MeļņiksM
- 7Ben ParkinsonF
- 17S. TanserD
- 47A. DohertyF
- 18Joseph Charles GardnerF
Form going into Dundee United vs Falkirk
Dundee United
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Motherwell2 September 2026
- W4-0away to Kilmarnock29 August 2026
- L0-2Dundee22 August 2026
- L0-4away to Heart of Midlothian9 August 2026
- D1-1Rangers31 July 2026
Falkirk
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Rangers2 September 2026
- L1-2away to Celtic29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Motherwell9 August 2026
- L0-2St Mirren1 August 2026
What these results say
- Dundee United failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dundee United conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Falkirk did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Falkirk conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dundee United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dundee United vs Falkirk
- 6 March 2026Falkirk 2–1 Dundee UnitedFA Cup
- 14 February 2026Falkirk 2–3 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 22 November 2025Dundee United 0–3 FalkirkPremiership
- 3 August 2025Falkirk 2–2 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 13 July 2024Falkirk 2–0 Dundee UnitedLeague Cup
Leading scorers: Dundee United and Falkirk
Dundee United
GoalsAssists
- J. Randall33
Falkirk
GoalsAssists
- J. Murrell70
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dundee United and Falkirk drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Dundee United at 40% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Jacob Murrell 4' for Falkirk, Michael Forbes 90+3' for Dundee United.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.