FC Vaduz vs Grasshoppers Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Vaduz 5-2 Grasshoppers.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% FC Vaduz, 28% draw, 27% Grasshoppers — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Vaduz at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Vaduz vs Grasshoppers
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25L. SchaffranG
- 4N. HaslerD
- 6D. SimaniD
- 5L. BerishaD
- 7D. Schwizer
- 17J. StarkM
- 20L. MackM
- 10J. CabreraM
- 28M. CocicM
- 11L. DalipiF
- 9M. MonsbergerF
- 1B. BuchelG
- 27N. LangD
- 14M. BeeliD
- 29M. SawadogoD
- 22M. EberhardM
- 30M. WalkerM
- 23M. HammerichM
- 19D. DjokicF
- 18D. KasperF
- 71J. HammelG
- 28S. StroscioD
- 44B. PllanaD
- 4L. MikulicD
- 57N. RissiD
- 8T. MeyerM
- 66M. GibelaldeM
- 17S. KrasniqiM
- 6A. AbrashiM
- 9N. MuciF
- 18Lee Young-JunF
- 1M. HubelG
- 34A. ArigoniD
- 58Y. BettkoberD
- 10O. ClementeM
- 23S. MarquesM
- 56D. SahinM
- 55D. PapicM
- 60S. BengondoF
- 7L. PlangeF
Form going into FC Vaduz vs Grasshoppers
FC Vaduz
- L2-4away to BSC Young Boys23 August 2026
Grasshoppers
- L1-2away to Servette FC8 August 2026
- L1-4FC Lugano2 August 2026
- D1-1away to Lausanne25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | FC Vaduz | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Grasshoppers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Vaduz vs Grasshoppers
- 30 August 2026FC Vaduz 5–2 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 24 June 2023Grasshoppers 4–3 FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
- 11 November 2021Grasshoppers 3–1 FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
- 3 July 2020FC Vaduz 2–3 GrasshoppersChallenge League
- 31 January 2020Grasshoppers 1–2 FC VaduzChallenge League
- 25 October 2019Grasshoppers 3–3 FC VaduzChallenge League
Leading scorers: FC Vaduz and Grasshoppers
FC Vaduz
- Juan Cabrera4 goals
- L. Dalipi3 goals7 assists
- M. Monsberger3 goals1 assists
Grasshoppers
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.