Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Sao Paulo 2-1 RB Bragantino.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Sao Paulo, 28% draw, 34% RB Bragantino — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sao Paulo at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
- L0-1away to Chapecoense23 August 2026
- D1-1Coritiba16 August 2026
RB Bragantino
- W1-0Gremio23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Atletico Paranaense15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 30 | +1 | 33 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 36 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino
- 15 March 2026RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao PauloSerie A
- 21 February 2026RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao PauloPaulista - A1
- 9 November 2025Sao Paulo 0–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 17 July 2025RB Bragantino 2–2 Sao PauloSerie A
- 8 February 2025RB Bragantino 1–0 Sao PauloPaulista - A1
- 20 November 2024RB Bragantino 1–1 Sao PauloSerie A
Leading scorers: Sao Paulo and RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
- Luciano8 goals2 assists
- J. Calleri7 goals1 assists
RB Bragantino
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.