29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Juventus vs Parma Serie A prediction & result

Allianz Stadium, Turin
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Juventus 2-0 Parma.

Before kick-off the model made it 61% Juventus, 23% draw, 16% Parma — fair odds of 1.64, 4.35 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Juventus at 61% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Juventus99%Draw1%Parma0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Jhon Lucumí
10'
Manuel Locatelli
54'
55'
Enrico Delprato
🔁J. Davidout: N. Gonzalez
57'
🔁J. Bogaout: K. Alajbegovic
57'
61'
🔁C. Ordonezout: B. Cremaschi
62'
🔁S. Lontaniout: D. Romero
⚽N. Gonzalez
62'
🔁J. Lucumiout: L. Kelly
75'
🔁F. Conceicaoout: A. Cambiaso
76'
78'
Mariano Troilo
80'
🔁A. Bernabeout: A. Konate
80'
🔁E. B. Toureout: N. Elphege
84'
🔁S. Britschgiout: P. Almqvist
🔁out: T. Koopmeiners
86'
⚽T. Koopmeinersassist: M. Locatelli
88'
90+3'
Abdou-Salam Konate

Match stats — Juventus vs Parma

58%Possession42%
21Shots4
6On target3
10Corners2
1.68xG0.22

Goals against chances

Juventus2 from 1.68 xGabout what the chances were worth
Parma0 from 0.22 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Juventus 4-4-2
  • 25G. VicarioG
  • 15P. KaluluD
  • 3BremerD
  • 26J. LucumiD
  • 2Z. CelikD
  • 7F. ConceicaoM
  • 5M. LocatelliM
  • 12Douglas LuizM
  • 13J. BogaM
  • 9R. Kolo MuaniF
  • 30J. DavidF
Substitutes
  • 23C. PinsoglioG
  • 1K. GrabaraG
  • 6L. KellyD
  • 20A. CambiasoD
  • 4F. GattiD
  • 24D. RuganiD
  • 32J. CabalD
  • 8T. KoopmeinersM
  • 31N. GonzalezF
Coach: Luciano Spalletti
Parma 4-4-2
  • 40E. CorviG
  • 15E. DelpratoD
  • 37M. TroiloD
  • 72D. DrobnicD
  • 14E. ValeriD
  • 27S. BritschgiM
  • 32C. OrdonezM
  • 10A. BernabeM
  • 16M. KeitaM
  • 76S. LontaniF
  • 19E. B. ToureF
Substitutes
  • 30G. DaffaraG
  • 75A. MazzocchiG
  • 3A. NdiayeD
  • 5L. ValentiD
  • 29F. CarboniD
  • 11P. AlmqvistF
  • 80G. FabbianM
  • 8B. CremaschiM
  • 47A. KonateM
Coach: Carlos Cuesta

Form going into Juventus vs Parma

Juventus

  • W1-0away to Frosinone23 August 2026

Parma

  • L0-1Cagliari22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Juventus421164+27
17Parma401326-41

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Juventus vs Parma

  • 29 August 2026Juventus 2–0 ParmaSerie A
  • 1 February 2026Parma 1–4 JuventusSerie A
  • 24 August 2025Juventus 2–0 ParmaSerie A
  • 23 April 2025Parma 1–0 JuventusSerie A
  • 30 October 2024Juventus 2–2 ParmaSerie A
  • 21 April 2021Juventus 3–1 ParmaSerie A

Leading scorers: Juventus and Parma

Juventus

  • E. Zhegrova2 goals

Parma

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.