Juventus vs Parma Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Juventus 2-0 Parma.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% Juventus, 23% draw, 16% Parma — fair odds of 1.64, 4.35 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Juventus at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Juventus vs Parma
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25G. VicarioG
- 15P. KaluluD
- 3BremerD
- 26J. LucumiD
- 2Z. CelikD
- 7F. ConceicaoM
- 5M. LocatelliM
- 12Douglas LuizM
- 13J. BogaM
- 9R. Kolo MuaniF
- 30J. DavidF
- 23C. PinsoglioG
- 1K. GrabaraG
- 6L. KellyD
- 20A. CambiasoD
- 4F. GattiD
- 24D. RuganiD
- 32J. CabalD
- 8T. KoopmeinersM
- 31N. GonzalezF
- 40E. CorviG
- 15E. DelpratoD
- 37M. TroiloD
- 72D. DrobnicD
- 14E. ValeriD
- 27S. BritschgiM
- 32C. OrdonezM
- 10A. BernabeM
- 16M. KeitaM
- 76S. LontaniF
- 19E. B. ToureF
- 30G. DaffaraG
- 75A. MazzocchiG
- 3A. NdiayeD
- 5L. ValentiD
- 29F. CarboniD
- 11P. AlmqvistF
- 80G. FabbianM
- 8B. CremaschiM
- 47A. KonateM
Form going into Juventus vs Parma
Juventus
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Frosinone23 August 2026
Parma
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Cagliari22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Juventus vs Parma
- 1 February 2026Parma 1–4 JuventusSerie A
- 24 August 2025Juventus 2–0 ParmaSerie A
- 23 April 2025Parma 1–0 JuventusSerie A
- 30 October 2024Juventus 2–2 ParmaSerie A
- 21 April 2021Juventus 3–1 ParmaSerie A
The result against the call
Juventus beat Parma 2–0. The model had made a win for Juventus its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: N. Gonzalez 62' for Juventus, T. Koopmeiners 88' for Juventus. On expected goals it finished 1.68–0.22.