Accrington Stanley vs Wycombe FA Cup prediction & result
Final score: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Wycombe.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Accrington Stanley, 26% draw, 35% Wycombe — fair odds of 2.56, 3.85 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Accrington Stanley at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Accrington Stanley vs Wycombe
Line-ups
- 1L. MouldenG
- 17D. MatthewsD
- 5F. RawsonD
- 22J. AndersonD
- 2D. LoveM
- 16Aidan BorlandM
- 14Stefan MolsM
- 8C. GrantM
- 10Alex HendersonM
- 23T. WaltonF
- 30C. WarrenF
- 7S. WhalleyF
- 3Oliver SmithD
- 25J. SmithD
- 21J. RogersonG
- 4T. MooreD
- 28S. ConneelyM
- 20C. BrownF
- 49Ronan DarcyM
- 33J. WildsmithG
- 22Sam ParkerD
- 17D. CaseyD
- 26C. TaylorD
- 3D. HarvieD
- 29M. MothersilleM
- 10L. LeahyM
- 5A. MorleyM
- 11Silko Amari Otieno ThomasM
- 28Danny IngsF
- 19E. TezgelF
- 8C. Boyd-MunceM
- 68K. CrossF
- 45A. HagelskjærD
- 47Kaylan HemmingsF
- 61Mohamed KeitaD
- 31S. MooreG
- 21Jamie MullinsM
- 15J. WarehamF
- 74Luke Ewart Harney-RobersonM
Form going into Accrington Stanley vs Wycombe
Accrington Stanley
League Two
- D1-1Northampton31 October 2026
- W5-0away to Rochdale24 October 2026
- D1-1away to York20 October 2026
- W3-1Gillingham17 October 2026
Wycombe
League One
- W2-0Burton Albion31 October 2026
- D1-1away to AFC Wimbledon24 October 2026
- D2-2away to Cambridge United20 October 2026
- W2-0Notts County17 October 2026
- L1-4Luton10 October 2026
What these results say
- Accrington Stanley went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Accrington Stanley scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Accrington Stanley conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Wycombe scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Accrington Stanley and Wycombe in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Accrington Stanley | League Two | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | +4 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe | League One | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: League Two · League One
Head-to-head: Accrington Stanley vs Wycombe
- 14 February 2023Accrington Stanley 0–2 WycombeLeague One
- 13 September 2022Wycombe 1–0 Accrington StanleyLeague One
- 26 February 2022Accrington Stanley 3–2 WycombeLeague One
- 7 August 2021Wycombe 2–1 Accrington StanleyLeague One
- 17 September 2019Wycombe 1–1 Accrington StanleyLeague One
Leading scorers: Accrington Stanley and Wycombe
Accrington Stanley
GoalsAssists
- J. Woods71
- C. Caton50
Wycombe
GoalsAssists
- J. Wareham61
- F. Onyedinma43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wycombe won 2–0 at Accrington Stanley. The model had leaned towards a win for Accrington Stanley at 39% and given a win for Wycombe 35%. The goals: Connor Taylor 5' for Wycombe, Daniel Harvie 69' for Wycombe.
How the call on Accrington Stanley v Wycombe has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 36% / 26% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 39% / 26% / 35%: the biggest move is Accrington Stanley's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Accrington Stanley win39%▲ +3
- Draw26%=
- Wycombe win35%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.