7 November 2026, 15:30 UTC

Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan Pro League prediction & result

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Rashid Al Maktoum Stadium, Hatta
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Hatta SC 1-2 Khorfakkan.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Hatta SC, 26% draw, 41% Khorfakkan — fair odds of 3.03, 3.85 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Khorfakkan at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hatta SC0%Draw4%Khorfakkan96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Ayman Rchoqout: Rashed Salem Khalfan Ghemail Mubarak
8'
27'
⚽Pedro Pavlov
36'
Kayque Soares Campos
Juan Pedroza
45'
Bruno Leonardo
45+4'
Ibrahim Essa Al Balooshi
49'
50'
⚽Tarik Tissoudali (pen)
62'
🔁Rafael Pereiraout: Akram Nakach
62'
🔁Ahmadou Camaraout: Abdalla Ali Hassan Mohamed Rashid Al Naqbi
🔁Dominique Simonout: Anass Taouil
69'
🔁Rashed Salem Khalfan Ghemail Mubarakout: Bernard Babacar Faye
69'
81'
🔁Ramiro Vacaout: Ahmed Mahmoud
81'
🔁Pedro Pavlovout: Rilwanu Haliru Sarki
Drissa Coulibaly
83'
🔁Adham Khalid Ali Abdelhameedout: Khaled Ali Al Blooshi
87'
🔁Mohamed Firas Ben Larbiout: Khaled Al-Blooshi
87'
87'
🔁Aylton Boa Morteout: Sultan Alzaabi
⚽Seifeddine Jaziriassist: Bruno Leonardo
88'
Jocelyn Doumbia
90+1'

Match stats — Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan

60%Possession40%
18Shots9
9On target4
6Corners0
1.39xG1.34

Goals against chances

Hatta SC1 from 1.39 xGabout what the chances were worth
Khorfakkan2 from 1.34 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Hatta SC 4-1-4-1
  • 44Ibrahim Essa Al BalooshiG
  • 3Saeed SulaimanD
  • 33Bruno LeonardoD
  • 49Jocelyn DoumbiaD
  • 74Adham Khalid Ali AbdelhameedD
  • 11F. Ben ArbiM
  • 60D. CoulibalyM
  • 16J. PedrozaM
  • 80D. SimonM
  • 10A. RchoqM
  • 30S. JaziriF
Substitutes
  • 88Khalid Al BaloushiM
  • 22Marzooq RashedG
  • 5Khalid AbdullaD
  • 99B. FayeF
  • 17Pedro LeaoF
  • 4Atiq WalidM
  • 27Anass TaouilM
  • 2Omar SaeedD
  • 50Saeed Al MesmariG
Coach: Walid Obaid Al-Balooshi
Khorfakkan 4-1-4-1
  • 1Ahmed Al HosaniG
  • 11A. JashakD
  • 19L. HaquínD
  • 3Kayque SoaresD
  • 4Rafael PereiraD
  • 5A. CamaraM
  • 10Aylton Boa MorteM
  • 79J. N'GuessanM
  • 80R. VacaM
  • 16P. PavlovM
  • 9T. TissoudaliF
Substitutes
  • 6A. NakachD
  • 95Rashid AbdallaG
  • 34S. SeymorD
  • 12I. LagrimiD
  • 77R. SarkiF
  • 17Sultan AlzaabiD
  • 50Rashid AliG
  • 8Abdalla Al NaqbiM
  • 13Ahmed BarmanM
Coach: Abdelmajeed Alzarooni

Form going into Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan

Hatta SC

Pro League

  • L0-2away to Al Nasr17 October 2026
  • L1-2Al-Dhafra11 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Baniyas SC5 September 2026
  • L0-3Sharjah FC30 August 2026

Khorfakkan

Pro League

  • L2-3Al Wahda FC18 October 2026
  • D0-0Baniyas SC11 September 2026
  • L2-5away to Al-Wasl FC4 September 2026
  • W2-0Al-Dhafra29 August 2026

What these results say

  • Hatta SC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Hatta SC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Khorfakkan failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Khorfakkan scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

United Arab Emirates Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Hatta SC7106615-93
10Khorfakkan7214916-77

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hatta SC vs Khorfakkan

  • 24 February 2024Hatta SC 0–2 KhorfakkanPro League
  • 19 August 2023Khorfakkan 2–1 Hatta SCPro League
  • 15 March 2021Khorfakkan 1–0 Hatta SCPro League
  • 30 November 2020Hatta SC 2–3 KhorfakkanPro League
  • 2 February 2020Hatta SC 1–1 KhorfakkanPro League
  • 27 September 2019Khorfakkan 1–1 Hatta SCPro League

The result against the call

Khorfakkan won 2–1 at Hatta SC. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Khorfakkan at 41%. The goals: Pedro Pavlov 27' for Khorfakkan, Tarik Tissoudali (penalty) 50' for Khorfakkan, Seifeddine Jaziri 88' for Hatta SC. On expected goals it finished 1.39–1.34.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hatta SC a 60.3% chance to finish in the bottom two: 45.7% after a win, 62.6% after a draw, 72.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 72.3%, 12 points higher than before the match.

For Khorfakkan the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 24.5% going in: 12.9% after a win, 25.3% after a draw, 35.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.9%, 11.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.