Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Sharjah FC 2-0 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
Before kick-off the model made it 23% Sharjah FC, 24% draw, 53% Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — fair odds of 4.35, 4.17 and 1.89.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All UAE Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 40Adel Al HosaniG
- 19Khaled EbraheimD
- 23Diney BorgesD
- 31C. Nsiala-MakengoD
- 66LeandrinhoD
- 88Majed HassanM
- 6C. PickelM
- 57LorranM
- 11LuanzinhoM
- 30O. CamaraM
- 9K. LabaF
- 34Harib Abdalla SuhailM
- 1Khaled TawhidG
- 2João Pedro ChermontD
- 10Igor CoronadoM
- 99Sultan Al SaadiF
- 98C. DoumbiaF
- 17Mayed MuhsinG
- 5M. KatinićD
- 14Saif Al-KaabiM
- 22Hamad AbdullahG
- 24J. MarkeloD
- 75Mateus HenriqueD
- 3Igor GomesD
- 4W. FaesD
- 31Kauan SantosD
- 10F. CartabiaM
- 6S. EzatolahiM
- 88N. MaksimovićM
- 20S. AzmounF
- 8Mohammad JumaF
- 70Thiago ScarpinoF
- 44Jorge FernandesD
- 30Oumar KeitaM
- 5E. IralaM
- 14D. GarcíaM
- 33Matheus DonelliG
- 19MateusãoF
- 80Breno CascardoM
- 55Juan AlvinaF
Form going into Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Sharjah FC
Pro League
- W3-1away to Ajman18 October 2026
- L0-1away to Al Wahda FC11 September 2026
- W4-3Dubai United5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Hatta SC30 August 2026
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Pro League
- W2-0Al Ain17 October 2026
- D1-1away to Dubai United10 September 2026
- L1-3Al-Jazira5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Al-Wasl FC28 August 2026
What these results say
- Sharjah FC won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Sharjah FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Sharjah FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
United Arab Emirates Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sharjah FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 15 |
| 4 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sharjah FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
- 5 February 2026Sharjah FC 1–4 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
- 27 December 2025Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–3 Sharjah FCSuper Cup
- 30 October 2025Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–0 Sharjah FCPro League
- 9 May 2025Sharjah FC 1–2 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPresidents Cup
- 28 March 2025Sharjah FC 0–0 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
- 23 March 2025Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–2 Sharjah FCLeague Cup
Leading scorers: Sharjah FC and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Sharjah FC
GoalsAssists
- Igor Coronado32
- Julimar30
- Harib Abdalla Suhail21
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sharjah FC beat Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 53% and given a win for Sharjah FC 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Oumar Keita (own goal) 70' for Sharjah FC, Harib Abdalla Suhail 86' for Sharjah FC. On expected goals it finished 1.57–0.50.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sharjah FC a 4.9% chance to finish in the top two: 10.0% after a win, 4.1% after a draw, 2.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 10.0%, 5.1 points higher than before the match.
For Shabab Al Ahli Dubai the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 60.5% going in: 69.6% after a win, 54.1% after a draw, 45.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 45.2%, 15.3 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.