1 home · X draw · 2 away — fair odds, times in UTC
Last round: the model's hits and misses
6–8 November: the model called the result of 6 of 14 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.
- Bristol Rovers 2–0 Cambridge United — the model said 35% / 26% / 39%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
- Accrington Stanley 0–2 Wycombe — the model said 39% / 26% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
- Barnet 3–0 Tranmere — the model said 61% / 21% / 18%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
- Bromley 0–2 Rotherham — the model said 44% / 24% / 32%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
- Crewe 2–1 AFC Wimbledon — the model said 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
- Fleetwood Town 1–2 Rochdale — the model said 56% / 23% / 21%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
- Huddersfield 1–2 Exeter City — the model said 54% / 28% / 18%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
- Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Swindon Town — the model said 55% / 24% / 21%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
- Newport County 3–1 Walsall — the model said 38% / 28% / 34%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
- Oxford United 0–1 Stevenage — the model said 52% / 28% / 20%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
- York 4–0 Northampton — the model said 46% / 29% / 25%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
- Gillingham 0–1 Barrow — the model said 52% / 24% / 24%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
- Peterborough 0–5 Reading — the model said 29% / 27% / 44%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
- Oldham 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday — the model said 32% / 28% / 40%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
FA Cup so far
Round of 128
- AFC Fylde v Luton, 5 December.
- Barrow v Kidderminster Harriers, 5 December.
- Chesterfield v Cheltenham, 5 December.
- Colchester v Mansfield Town, 5 December.
- Crewe v Plymouth, 5 December.
- Dover v Leicester, 5 December.
- Exeter City v Stevenage, 5 December.
- Grimsby v Oldham, 5 December.
- Guiseley AFC v Notts County, 5 December.
- Plymouth Parkway v Barnet, 5 December.
- Port Vale v Leyton Orient, 5 December.
- Reading v Stockport County, 5 December.
- Rochdale v Newport County, 5 December.
- Rotherham v Bristol Rovers, 5 December.
- Salisbury v Blackpool, 5 December.
- Shrewsbury v Burton Albion, 5 December.
- Wigan v Barnsley, 5 December.
- Wimborne Town v Bradford, 5 December.
- Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons, 5 December.
- York v Carlisle, 5 December.
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