Uta Arad vs Csikszereda Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Uta Arad 5-1 Csikszereda.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Uta Arad, 28% draw, 23% Csikszereda — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Uta Arad at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Uta Arad vs Csikszereda
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33A. GorceaG
- 2A. DorobantuD
- 15P. OuanehD
- 4A. BengaD
- 3D. AlomerovicD
- 5S. MinoM
- 8A. RomanM
- 20D. TaroiM
- 77J. PapeauM
- 11H. AbdallahM
- 9M. ComanF
- 72A. PadulaD
- 22R. BadescuD
- 6A. IvanovM
- 14S. GueuletteM
- 7I. SinaniF
- 12A. I. PopescuG
- 10M. TzionisF
- 42O. El SawyM
- 94E. PapG
- 4A. SzaboD
- 3R. PalmesD
- 24J. HegedusD
- 6L. PaszkaM
- 11A. HorvathM
- 8S. VeresM
- 29R. TrifM
- 77A. StahlF
- 16E. Toth-PalF
- 27M. EppelF
- 34M. KaracsonyG
- 5G. PappD
- 18M. TajtiM
- 30Z. MagyarM
- 90S. NyitraM
- 79S. SzalayF
- 17A. CzekusF
- 55D. BotaM
Form going into Uta Arad vs Csikszereda
Uta Arad
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to FCSB30 August 2026
- D0-0Corvinul Hunedoara22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj17 August 2026
- D0-0Rapid7 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Voluntari1 August 2026
Csikszereda
All competitions we cover
- L2-3CFR 1907 Cluj29 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Botosani24 August 2026
- D0-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe15 August 2026
- L2-3away to Farul Constanta8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Arges Pitesti31 July 2026
What these results say
- Uta Arad failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Csikszereda did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Csikszereda conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Uta Arad | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Uta Arad vs Csikszereda
- 8 May 2026Uta Arad 1–0 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 7 February 2026Csikszereda 2–0 Uta AradLiga I
- 27 September 2025Uta Arad 0–0 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 30 November 2020Csikszereda 0–2 Uta AradCupa României
- 24 February 2020Csikszereda 0–6 Uta AradLiga II
Leading scorers: Uta Arad and Csikszereda
Uta Arad
GoalsAssists
- M. Coman50
Csikszereda
GoalsAssists
- M. Eppel50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Uta Arad beat Csikszereda 5–1. The model had made a win for Uta Arad its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Coman 32' for Uta Arad, H. Abdallah 50' for Uta Arad, M. Tzionis 63' for Uta Arad, M. Eppel 65' for Csikszereda, S. Mino 81' for Uta Arad, A. Padula 84' for Uta Arad. On expected goals it finished 2.92–1.37.
How the call on Uta Arad v Csikszereda has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 47% / 29% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 49% / 28% / 23%: the biggest move is Uta Arad's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Uta Arad win49%▲ +2
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Csikszereda win23%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.