Sporting Gijon vs Girona Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Sporting Gijon 0-2 Girona.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Sporting Gijon, 29% draw, 39% Girona — fair odds of 3.13, 3.45 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Girona at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sporting Gijon vs Girona
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1R. YanezG
- 2G. RosasD
- 24A. DunabeitiaD
- 15P. VazquezD
- 44A. CuencaD
- 11K. de la FuenteM
- 6N. MartinM
- 14A. CorrederaM
- 20N. IosifovM
- 19J. OteroF
- 10C. Gelabert PinaF
- 13E. AranaG
- 3P. GarciaD
- 26I. MartinezD
- 23J. SaenzD
- 4E. GularteD
- 5D. SanchezD
- 21M. LoumM
- 36B. RubioM
- 27E. PrendesF
- 13P. GazzanigaG
- 16A. FrancesD
- 5D. LopezD
- 38H. Zamorano
- 11A. MorenoD
- 22Y. AsprillaM
- 8F. BeltranM
- 24I. GonzalezM
- 17B. GilM
- 9A. RuizF
- 19V. VanatF
- 25V. KrapyvtsovG
- 1S. PuigG
- 4J. BonarD
- 3M. MoreyD
- 2A. MuminD
- 33M. FurtadoD
- 6D. van de BeekM
- 29L. KouroumaM
- 14I. MoranteM
Form going into Sporting Gijon vs Girona
Sporting Gijon
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Tenerife28 August 2026
- W1-0Burgos23 August 2026
- D0-0Sabadell17 August 2026
Girona
All competitions we cover
- W5-2Las Palmas29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Cordoba21 August 2026
- D1-1Leganes16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 23 |
| 3 | Girona | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 13 | +11 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sporting Gijon vs Girona
- 15 May 2022Sporting Gijon 2–1 GironaSegunda División
- 3 September 2021Girona 1–2 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 17 May 2021Girona 1–0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 26 September 2020Sporting Gijon 2–0 GironaSegunda División
- 6 July 2020Sporting Gijon 0–0 GironaSegunda División
- 18 August 2019Girona 1–1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
Leading scorers: Sporting Gijon and Girona
Sporting Gijon
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Girona
GoalsAssists
- V. Vanat52
- Y. Asprilla51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Girona won 2–0 at Sporting Gijon. The model had made a win for Girona its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Y. Asprilla 27' for Girona, C. Perez 76' for Girona. On expected goals it finished 2.52–0.91.