FC Botosani vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FC Botosani 5-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% FC Botosani, 31% draw, 30% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Botosani at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Botosani vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99G. AnestisG
- 2B. J. BayeyeD
- 4A. MironD
- 94M. DiarraD
- 73N. IlasD
- 21L. De VegaM
- 3C. PetroM
- 67E. PapaM
- 11Z. MitrovF
- 41A. DumiterF
- 7S. MailatF
- 27I. C. GurauG
- 30A. TiganasuD
- 23E. DiawD
- 44R. SadikuD
- 5R. CretD
- 8R. IdowuM
- 26H. OngendaF
- 37M. BordeianuM
- 77Gabriel GamaM
- 91D. LazarG
- 2Gustavo CascardoD
- 31L. RoseD
- 4S. KaramokoD
- 3F. ViannaD
- 17D. AndreiM
- 6N. I. PaunM
- 7R. SilaghiM
- 20N. HerasF
- 88C. DavordzieF
- 23H. Batzula
- 33S. GyengeG
- 21A. DobrosavleviciD
- 5B. VatajeluD
- 25B. OtelitaD
- 19G. GhimfusM
- 28V. DaguinM
- 30A. NistorM
- 27R. CimpeanM
- 9B. CmiljanicF
Form going into FC Botosani vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
FC Botosani
- D0-0away to Farul Constanta30 August 2026
- W1-0Csikszereda24 August 2026
- L2-3away to FCSB17 August 2026
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- W1-0away to Arges Pitesti29 August 2026
- D1-1Farul Constanta23 August 2026
- D0-0away to Csikszereda15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Botosani | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Botosani vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 5 September 2026FC Botosani 5–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 9 May 2025Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 1 February 2025FC Botosani 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 13 September 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 3–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 29 February 2024FC Botosani 1–2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 23 October 2023Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 5–2 FC BotosaniLiga I
Leading scorers: FC Botosani and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
FC Botosani
- A. Dumiter6 goals
- S. Mailat3 goals2 assists
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.