Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Real Sociedad II 1-1 Tenerife.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Real Sociedad II, 29% draw, 30% Tenerife — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Real Sociedad II at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. FragaG
- 2J. GarroD
- 4L. BeitiaD
- 5K. KitaD
- 3J. BaldaD
- 7D. DiazM
- 8I. AguirreM
- 6A. LebarbierM
- 17L. AstiazaranM
- 10A. MariezkurrenaF
- 18G. CarreraF
- 32L. OlasagastiG
- 13T. FolgadoG
- 23U. AgoteD
- 22I. RuperezD
- 29I. RoperoD
- 16G. GorosabelM
- 21J. EceizabarrenaM
- 14T. CarbonellM
- 34A. AdjabengF
- 1D. MartinG
- 5J. MorenoD
- 12A. LandazuriD
- 4J. LeonD
- 2D. RodriguezD
- 8V. MorenoM
- 6Juanjo SanchezM
- 16J. AlvarezM
- 10N. GilM
- 7M. PecarF
- 18EnricF
- 40G. De VuystG
- 3R. JureskinD
- 21M. MateuD
- 19C. AlvarezD
- 20M. PittonM
- 23A. KrdzalicM
- 15FabricioM
- 29D. FernandezM
- 24I. ChapelaF
Form going into Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife
Real Sociedad II
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Burgos31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Albacete22 August 2026
- L0-1Castellón14 August 2026
Tenerife
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Sporting Gijon28 August 2026
- W1-0Almeria23 August 2026
- W3-1away to Eibar16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Real Sociedad II | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife
- 9 April 2022Real Sociedad II 1–2 TenerifeSegunda División
- 28 November 2021Tenerife 2–0 Real Sociedad IISegunda División
Leading scorers: Real Sociedad II and Tenerife
Real Sociedad II
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Tenerife
GoalsAssists
- Enric Gallego81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Real Sociedad II and Tenerife drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Real Sociedad II at 41% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Fabricio 60' for Tenerife, J. Soroeta 81' for Real Sociedad II. On expected goals it finished 0.53–0.55.