Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Real Sociedad II 1-1 Tenerife.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Real Sociedad II, 29% draw, 30% Tenerife — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Real Sociedad II at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife
Real Sociedad II
- D2-2away to Burgos31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Albacete22 August 2026
- L0-1Castellón14 August 2026
Tenerife
- L0-1Sporting Gijon28 August 2026
- W1-0Almeria23 August 2026
- W3-1away to Eibar16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Sociedad II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 4 | Tenerife | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife
- 9 April 2022Real Sociedad II 1–2 TenerifeSegunda División
- 28 November 2021Tenerife 2–0 Real Sociedad IISegunda División
Leading scorers: Real Sociedad II and Tenerife
Real Sociedad II
- Gorka Gorosabel2 goals1 assists
- Dani Díaz1 goals2 assists
Tenerife
- Enric Gallego4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.