ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: ADO Den Haag 1-1 Cambuur.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% ADO Den Haag, 29% draw, 33% Cambuur — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
ADO Den Haag at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur
Line-ups
- 1K. NikiémaG
- 5J. Jensen-AbbewD
- 3P. MulderD
- 4M. WaemD
- 15M. HokkeD
- 17J. HawkinsM
- 25J. KiloM
- 33M. ŠínM
- 27N. ThomasM
- 46Y. EduardoF
- 11E. RottierF
- 7D. van MieghemF
- 23N. ThiedeG
- 18S. SyllaD
- 2O. RaterinkD
- 12Sem EekhoutG
- 10Illaijh de RuijterD
- 16F. de BruinM
- 77D. BárányF
- 9J. BalF
- 1T. JansenG
- 2D. BouahD
- 4I. BaoufD
- 14B. van DuijlD
- 28M. CostarelliD
- 33M. MaertensM
- 8N. SourenM
- 15F. KvamM
- 10R. El ArguiouiM
- 11I. HamacheM
- 7S. BouhoudaneF
- 3J. BerkhoutD
- 17Ethan ApkakouM
- 6J. AmofaD
- 30J. ÇekaF
- 29Iwan HenstraF
- 23L. JettenD
- 27W. KooistraF
- 21J. MeijsterG
- 16R. MuldersD
Form going into ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur
ADO Den Haag
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Twente12 September 2026
- L2-3Fortuna Sittard6 September 2026
- D2-2away to Feyenoord30 August 2026
- L1-3away to GO Ahead Eagles23 August 2026
- L1-4Groningen16 August 2026
Cambuur
All competitions we cover
- W3-0NEC Nijmegen12 September 2026
- D2-2away to Telstar6 September 2026
- L1-4Twente30 August 2026
- L2-5Feyenoord23 August 2026
- L1-3away to Fortuna Sittard15 August 2026
What these results say
- ADO Den Haag did not win any of these 5 matches.
- ADO Den Haag conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- ADO Den Haag scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Cambuur scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Cambuur had three goals or more.
- Cambuur failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur
- 16 January 2026ADO Den Haag 1–2 CambuurEerste Divisie
- 21 November 2025Cambuur 2–0 ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie
- 2 May 2025ADO Den Haag 3–4 CambuurEerste Divisie
- 7 December 2024Cambuur 2–1 ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie
- 29 October 2024ADO Den Haag 1–4 CambuurKNVB Beker
Leading scorers: ADO Den Haag and Cambuur
ADO Den Haag
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Cambuur
GoalsAssists
- R. El Arguioui62
- I. Hamache53
- N. Binder52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
ADO Den Haag and Cambuur drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for ADO Den Haag at 38% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Fabian Kvam 44' for Cambuur, Donat Barany 74' for ADO Den Haag.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.