ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: ADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna Sittard.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% ADO Den Haag, 29% draw, 32% Fortuna Sittard — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
ADO Den Haag at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard
Line-ups
- 1K. NikiémaG
- 2O. RaterinkD
- 3P. MulderD
- 15M. HokkeD
- 18S. SyllaD
- 25J. KiloM
- 14M. JiménezM
- 7D. van MieghemM
- 11E. RottierM
- 27N. ThomasM
- 46Y. EduardoF
- 19L. ReischlF
- 23N. ThiedeG
- 4M. WaemD
- 22L. WilhelmD
- 8J. ŽambůrekM
- 20Caleb KramerG
- 9J. BalF
- 35S. BergtopD
- 16F. de BruinM
- 31M. BranderhorstG
- 12Ivo PintoD
- 23P. BrittijnD
- 3Rodrigo GuthD
- 28Justin Quincy HubnerD
- 8J. DahlhausD
- 52M. IhattarenM
- 20É. MichutM
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t ZandM
- 9A. DescotteF
- 25L. ZeefuikF
- 39Ganni BuyukhanM
- 38Moussa GbemouM
- 1L. KoopmansG
- 5Y. OukiliM
- 33K. ReitmaierG
- 44David StockbrinkF
- 15N. de GrootD
- 35K. van BurgstedenM
- 6S. van OtteleD
Form going into ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard
ADO Den Haag
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Feyenoord30 August 2026
- L1-3away to GO Ahead Eagles23 August 2026
- L1-4Groningen16 August 2026
- L0-2away to AZ Alkmaar8 August 2026
Fortuna Sittard
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Groningen28 August 2026
- L0-2AZ Alkmaar22 August 2026
- W3-1Cambuur15 August 2026
- D2-2away to PSV Eindhoven8 August 2026
What these results say
- ADO Den Haag did not win any of these 4 matches.
- ADO Den Haag conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- ADO Den Haag scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Fortuna Sittard conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Fortuna Sittard scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Fortuna Sittard had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 9 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard
- 25 April 2021ADO Den Haag 0–3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- 20 February 2021Fortuna Sittard 2–0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 9 November 2019Fortuna Sittard 1–0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 31 October 2019Fortuna Sittard 3–0 ADO Den HaagKNVB Beker
The result against the call
Fortuna Sittard won 3–2 at ADO Den Haag. The model had leaned towards a win for ADO Den Haag at 39% and given a win for Fortuna Sittard 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Mohammed Ihattaren 29' for Fortuna Sittard, Lequincio Zeefuik 34' for Fortuna Sittard, Yannick Fereira Eduardo 59' for ADO Den Haag, Mohammed Ihattaren 62' for Fortuna Sittard, Jesse Bal 90+1' for ADO Den Haag.