ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: ADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna Sittard.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% ADO Den Haag, 29% draw, 32% Fortuna Sittard — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts ADO Den Haag at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard
Line-ups
- 1K. NikiémaG
- 2O. RaterinkD
- 3P. MulderD
- 15M. HokkeD
- 18S. SyllaD
- 25J. KiloM
- 14M. JiménezM
- 7D. van MieghemM
- 11E. RottierM
- 27N. ThomasM
- 46Y. EduardoF
- 19L. ReischlF
- 23N. ThiedeG
- 4M. WaemD
- 22L. WilhelmD
- 8J. ŽambůrekM
- 20Caleb KramerG
- 9J. BalF
- 35S. BergtopD
- 16F. de BruinM
- 31M. BranderhorstG
- 12Ivo PintoD
- 23P. BrittijnD
- 3Rodrigo GuthD
- 28Justin Quincy HubnerD
- 8J. DahlhausD
- 52M. IhattarenM
- 20É. MichutM
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t ZandM
- 9A. DescotteF
- 25L. ZeefuikF
- 39Ganni BuyukhanM
- 38Moussa GbemouM
- 1L. KoopmansG
- 5Y. OukiliM
- 33K. ReitmaierG
- 44David StockbrinkF
- 15N. de GrootD
- 35K. van BurgstedenM
- 6S. van OtteleD
Form going into ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard
ADO Den Haag
- D2-2away to Feyenoord30 August 2026
- L1-3away to GO Ahead Eagles23 August 2026
- L1-4Groningen16 August 2026
Fortuna Sittard
- W3-2away to Groningen28 August 2026
- L0-2AZ Alkmaar22 August 2026
- W3-1Cambuur15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard
- 6 September 2026ADO Den Haag 2–3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- 25 April 2021ADO Den Haag 0–3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- 20 February 2021Fortuna Sittard 2–0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 9 November 2019Fortuna Sittard 1–0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 31 October 2019Fortuna Sittard 3–0 ADO Den HaagKNVB Beker
Leading scorers: ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard
ADO Den Haag
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Fortuna Sittard
- M. Ihattaren3 goals2 assists
- L. Zeefuik3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.