FC Orenburg vs Akron Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FC Orenburg 2-2 Akron.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% FC Orenburg, 29% draw, 26% Akron — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Orenburg at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Orenburg vs Akron
Line-ups
- 1B. OvsyannikovG
- 24M. SivisD
- 6J. PalaciosD
- 5A. TataevD
- 26E. TsenovD
- 78R. KulM
- 57E. BolotovM
- 8D. PueblaM
- 11E. NazarenkoM
- 20D. RybchinskiyM
- 30G. GuzinaF
- 95A. KhodanovichG
- 3D. VedernikovD
- 4D. KhotulevD
- 38A. KasimovD
- 27R. GolybinM
- 65I. IvashchenkoM
- 80M. PykhcheevM
- 63O. MinatulaevM
- 19Alexandre JesusF
- 88V. GudievG
- 2Y. RochaD
- 13V. BardybakhinD
- 26R. EscovalD
- 80K. KhosonovD
- 89D. PopenkovD
- 11DuduM
- 15S. LoncarM
- 22K. MaradishviliM
- 10K. Arevalo
- 7BenchimolF
- 32I. TerekhovskyG
- 98R. VolochayG
- 19M. BokoevD
- 21R. FernandezD
- 47E. VedernikovD
- 6K. HovhannisyanM
- 67N. PlatonM
- 8K. BistrovicM
- 81N. BazilevskiyM
Form going into FC Orenburg vs Akron
FC Orenburg
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Spartak Moscow30 August 2026
- D0-0away to Fakel22 August 2026
- D1-1Lokomotiv14 August 2026
- D1-1away to Rubin9 August 2026
Akron
All competitions we cover
- D2-2CSKA Moscow28 August 2026
- L0-3Krylia Sovetov23 August 2026
- D3-3away to Rodina Moskva15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Lokomotiv8 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Orenburg went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- FC Orenburg did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for FC Orenburg had two goals or fewer.
- Akron did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Akron conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Akron had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Orenburg | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 14 | Akron | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Orenburg vs Akron
- 28 February 2026FC Orenburg 2–0 AkronPremier League
- 17 August 2025Akron 1–2 FC OrenburgPremier League
- 30 November 2024Akron 1–0 FC OrenburgPremier League
- 10 August 2024FC Orenburg 2–2 AkronPremier League
- 27 November 2021Akron 0–3 OrenburgFirst League
Leading scorers: FC Orenburg and Akron
FC Orenburg
GoalsAssists
- J. Thompson42
Akron
GoalsAssists
- Gilson Benchimol42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Orenburg and Akron drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Orenburg at 45% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: G. Guzina 36' for FC Orenburg, Dudu 75' for Akron, Benchimol 78' for Akron, Alexandre Jesus 83' for FC Orenburg.