Angers vs Rennes Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Angers 1-2 Rennes.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Angers, 27% draw, 32% Rennes — fair odds of 2.44, 3.70 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Angers at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Angers vs Rennes
Line-ups
- 1Anthony LopesG
- 2C. ArcusD
- 4O. CamaraD
- 21J. LefortD
- 17J. KaluluD
- 14Y. BelkhdimM
- 8B. van den BoomenM
- 18J. AllevinahM
- 10A. SbaïM
- 26A. BermontM
- 19A. El OuazzaniF
- 40Oumar PonaG
- 27L. Rao-LisoaD
- 24E. BiumlaM
- 9P. PeterF
- 11Djibirin HarounaF
- 7U. SimbakoliF
- 20Marius LouërD
- 34M. GernigonD
- 36Bane DiattaM
- 30B. SambaG
- 95P. FrankowskiD
- 4C. CresswellD
- 24A. RouaultD
- 26Q. MerlinD
- 17S. SzymańskiM
- 21V. RongierM
- 45M. CamaraM
- 10L. BlasF
- 9E. LepaulF
- 11Mousa TamariF
- 22B. DiaF
- 70A. NordinF
- 90I. SoumaréF
- 12Eliezer MayendaF
- 28A. ThomassonM
- 14B. ReynoldsD
- 5Gonçalo OliveiraD
- 18M. NagidaD
- 16N. LemaîtreG
Form going into Angers vs Rennes
Angers
- W3-1away to Auxerre29 August 2026
- L0-2Lille23 August 2026
Rennes
- W3-2Le Mans30 August 2026
- D2-2Paris Saint Germain23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Angers vs Rennes
- 6 September 2026Angers 1–2 RennesLigue 1
- 11 April 2026Rennes 2–1 AngersLigue 1
- 31 August 2025Angers 1–1 RennesLigue 1
- 30 March 2025Angers 0–3 RennesLigue 1
- 15 December 2024Rennes 2–0 AngersLigue 1
- 27 July 2024Rennes 2–1 AngersFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Angers and Rennes
Angers
No player in Ligue 1's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Rennes
- E. Lepaul3 goals
- A. Thomasson1 goals2 assists
- S. Szymański1 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.