Al Ain vs Tractor Sazi AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Al Ain 2-1 Tractor Sazi.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Al Ain, 28% draw, 28% Tractor Sazi — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al Ain at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Ain vs Tractor Sazi
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 17Khalid EisaG
- 19V. LazaroD
- 4Y. Ben KhaleqD
- 25Rami RabiaD
- 6Đ. SkokoD
- 2Rafael RodriguesD
- 10A. RomeroM
- 70Abdoul Karim TraoréM
- 20M. PalaciosM
- 7G. GiakoumakisF
- 13H. RahimiF
- 8Mohammed Al BaloushiM
- 1Mohammed Bu SandaG
- 5T. GijselhartM
- 30Hazem MohammadM
- 97A. JašićM
- 3Marcos MaiaD
- 56A. NiangD
- 80Joshua UdohM
- 38I. NdiayeM
- 81P. JafariG
- 18S. MoharramiD
- 33F. FarajiD
- 3S. KhalilzadehD
- 58M. DaneshgarD
- 22M. NaderiD
- 11A. AbdullayevM
- 2M. ShiriM
- 7T. HalilovićM
- 70S. MoghanlouF
- 99A. HosseinzadehF
- 4M. ZakipourD
- 23Yasin ZareG
- 27A. KhorramiF
- 17M. KazemayniF
- 88S. KarimazarF
- 19T. ŠtrkaljF
- 20M. HashemnejadF
- 44E. Darvish AaliD
- 71Morteza FazeliF
Form going into Al Ain vs Tractor Sazi
Al Ain
AFC Champions League Elite
- W4-1away to Al Quwa Al Jawiya12 October 2026
- W4-0Al-Nassr15 September 2026
Tractor Sazi
AFC Champions League Elite
- D0-0Al Shamal12 October 2026
- L0-1away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai14 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 12 |
| 13 | Tractor Sazi | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Ain and Tractor Sazi
Al Ain
GoalsAssists
- H. Rahimi50
- A. Romero23
Tractor Sazi
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Ain beat Tractor Sazi 2–1. The model had made a win for Al Ain its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ramy Rabia 21' for Al Ain, Tibor Halilović 55' for Tractor Sazi, Houssine Rahimi 70' for Al Ain. On expected goals it finished 1.34–0.47.
How the call on Al Ain v Tractor Sazi has moved
First published on 12 Oct at 49% / 28% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 44% / 28% / 28%: the biggest move is Al Ain's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Al Ain win44%▼ −5
- Draw28%=
- Tractor Sazi win28%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.