Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 Slavia Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Lokomotiv Plovdiv, 35% draw, 33% Slavia Sofia — fair odds of 3.13, 2.86 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
the draw at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
Line-ups
- 1B. MilosavljevicG
- 2Adrián CovaD
- 4A. ChindrişD
- 94brito matheusD
- 5T. PavlovM
- 22I. IvanovD
- 39P. UmarbayevM
- 11R. LeijtenM
- 10J. IlievM
- 29Christ LongvilleF
- 19junior burbanF
- 9A. VelevF
- 6M. TrdanM
- 44M. PetrovićD
- 99J. LamyF
- 26D. Kirashki
- 17A. FaseF
- 33Yoan Dzhelepov
- 3D. AliF
- 40P. ZovkoG
- 99I. AndonovG
- 87D. FerraressoD
- 26D. BurovD
- 24L. MarinD
- 4N. SavićD
- 77E. StoevF
- 73I. MinchevM
- 71K. StoyanovD
- 95V. MiletićM
- 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
- 10V. NikolovM
- 23I. AntonovF
- 6B. TodorovM
- 27Umaro BaldéF
- 9Y. BornosuzovF
- 19E. GogevF
- 5David MalembanaD
- 63L. NtumbaG
- 7R. RaychevF
- 20J. Semedo VarelaD
Form going into Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
First League
- D1-1away to Lokomotiv Sofia10 October 2026
- D1-1CSKA Sofia20 September 2026
Slavia Sofia
First League
- L0-1away to Botev Plovdiv10 October 2026
- L1-2CSKA 194818 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 12 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
- 8 February 2026Slavia Sofia 0–2 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
- 15 August 2025Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 19 May 2025Slavia Sofia 1–2 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
- 19 April 2025Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 9 November 2024Slavia Sofia 2–1 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
- 3 July 2024Slavia Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFriendlies Clubs
The result against the call
Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Slavia Sofia drew 0–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a draw at 35%. Sent off: Ivaylo Ivanov (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) 70'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Lokomotiv Plovdiv a 43.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 32.7% after a win, 45.9% after a draw, 52.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 45.9%, 2.1 points higher than before the match.
For Slavia Sofia the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 11.9% going in: 5.6% after a win, 12.2% after a draw, 16.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 12.2%.
Read from our First League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.