26 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

FC Iberia 1999 vs Torpedo Kutaisi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Referee: I. Shengelia
Full time3 – 2

Final score: FC Iberia 1999 3-2 Torpedo Kutaisi.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% FC Iberia 1999, 26% draw, 28% Torpedo Kutaisi — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Iberia 1999 at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Iberia 199996%Draw4%Torpedo Kutaisi0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Zviad Natchkebiaassist: Vahid Selimović
17'
⚽Amiran Dzagania
27'
🔁Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolavaout: marc jean tiboue
35'
⚽Giorgi Beridzeassist: Zviad Natchkebia
40'
•Amiran Dzagania
45+1'
46'
🔁Mateo Stamatovout: Tsotne Nadaraia
46'
🔁Giorgi Arabidzeout: Akaki Shulaia
46'
🔁Bukiya datoout: Nodar Lominadze
46'
🔁Virgile Pinsonout: luka kuprava
🔁Vahid Selimovićout: Phillip Cancar
46'
49'
⚽Vladimer Mamuchashviliassist: diego deisadze
50'
Mateo Itrak
68'
⚽Felipe Pires
🔁Bakar Kardavaout: Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi
69'
🔁nika sikharulashviliout: Lucas Oliveira Brune
69'
78'
🔁Luka·Latsabidzeout: Giorgi Kokhreidze
🔁Giorgi Beridzeout: Giorgi Kutsia
82'

Match stats — FC Iberia 1999 vs Torpedo Kutaisi

48%Possession52%
10Shots12
5On target7
4Corners5

Line-ups

FC Iberia 1999 4-2-3-1
  • 31G. MakaridzeG
  • 40G. KobuladzeD
  • 25A. AmisulashviliD
  • 4V. SelimovićD
  • 5J. JinjolavaD
  • 6N. DadianiM
  • 8B. KardavaM
  • 26G. BeridzeF
  • 19N. SikharulashviliM
  • 10Z. NatchkebiaF
  • 9A. DzaganiaF
Substitutes
  • 14I. AlhassanM
  • 11A. BartishviliM
  • 30N. BochorishviliD
  • 3P. CancarD
  • 29L. ChikhradzeF
  • 27G. KutsiaM
  • 18Lucas BruneM
  • 1T. MegrelishviliG
  • 33marc jean tiboueD
Coach: L. Korghalidze
Torpedo Kutaisi 4-2-3-1
  • 1O. GoshadzeG
  • 24L. LatsabidzeD
  • 22D. BukiaD
  • 4M. ŠimićD
  • 33M. StamatovD
  • 8M. ItrakM
  • 7V. MamuchashviliM
  • 11G. ArabidzeM
  • 14Felipe PiresF
  • 39V. PinsonF
  • 35D. DeisadzeM
Substitutes
  • 17N. LominadzeM
  • 5T. NadaraiaD
  • 40A. ShulaiaM
  • 15L. KupravaD
  • 38S. KopalianiG
  • 10G. KokhreidzeM
  • 13G. KatkovD
  • 25G. GergedavaM
  • 29M. ChitaishviliM
Coach: D. Schuster

Form going into FC Iberia 1999 vs Torpedo Kutaisi

FC Iberia 1999

Erovnuli Liga

  • W2-0away to Dila19 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Meshakhte10 October 2026

Torpedo Kutaisi

Erovnuli Liga

  • L0-1Rustavi18 October 2026
  • D3-3away to Spaeri10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Iberia 19993218594633+1359
5Torpedo Kutaisi321110115344+943

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Iberia 1999 vs Torpedo Kutaisi

  • 15 August 2026Torpedo Kutaisi 4–3 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
  • 1 July 2026FC Iberia 1999 2–2 Torpedo KutaisiSuper Cup
  • 10 May 2026FC Iberia 1999 1–1 Torpedo KutaisiErovnuli Liga
  • 11 March 2026Torpedo Kutaisi 1–0 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
  • 21 October 2025Torpedo Kutaisi 3–1 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
  • 13 August 2025FC Iberia 1999 2–1 Torpedo KutaisiDavid Kipiani Cup

Leading scorers: FC Iberia 1999 and Torpedo Kutaisi

FC Iberia 1999

No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 46 league goals as a side.

Torpedo Kutaisi

GoalsAssists

  • K. Andrić82
  • G. Arabidze58
  • Felipe Pires30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Iberia 1999 beat Torpedo Kutaisi 3–2. The model had made a win for FC Iberia 1999 its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Zviad Natchkebia 17' for FC Iberia 1999, Amiran Dzagania 27' for FC Iberia 1999, Giorgi Beridze 40' for FC Iberia 1999, Vladimer Mamuchashvili 49' for Torpedo Kutaisi, Felipe Pires 68' for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Iberia 1999 a 20.8% chance to finish top of the regular season: 28.0% after a win, 15.7% after a draw, 10.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.0%, 7.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Erovnuli Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Iberia 1999 v Torpedo Kutaisi has moved

First published on 12 Oct at 43% / 27% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 46% / 26% / 28%: the biggest move is FC Iberia 1999's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. FC Iberia 1999 win46%▲ +3
  2. Draw26%▼ −1
  3. Torpedo Kutaisi win28%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.