AFC Champions League Elite predictions

Monday 23 November — 6 matches

• 13:45 UTC Neftchi Fergana vs Al-Hilal — model 7% / 12% / 81%, most likely 0-3, fair odds 14.29 · 8.33 · 1.23. One-sided: Al-Hilal
• 16:00 UTC Tractor Sazi vs Al-Wasl FC — model 54% / 26% / 20%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.85 · 3.85 · 5.00. Edge: Tractor Sazi
• 16:00 UTC Al Ain vs Esteghlal FC — model 49% / 27% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.70 · 4.17. Evenly matched
• 16:00 UTC Al Shamal vs Al-Ahli Jeddah — model 25% / 23% / 52%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.00 · 4.35 · 1.92. One-sided: Al-Ahli Jeddah
• 18:15 UTC Al-Ittihad vs Pakhtakor — model 77% / 15% / 8%, most likely 3-0, fair odds 1.30 · 6.67 · 12.50. One-sided: Al-Ittihad
• 18:15 UTC Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Gharafa — model 32% / 30% / 38%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.13 · 3.33 · 2.63. Edge: Al-Gharafa

Tuesday 24 November — 8 matches

• 07:45 UTC Newcastle Jets vs Kashiwa Reysol — model 32% / 25% / 43%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 4.00 · 2.33. Edge: Kashiwa Reysol
• 10:00 UTC Kyoto Sanga vs Pohang Steelers — model 50% / 26% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.00 · 3.85 · 4.17. Evenly matched
• 10:00 UTC Daejeon Citizen vs Beijing Guoan — model 56% / 23% / 21%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.79 · 4.35 · 4.76. Edge: Daejeon Citizen
• 12:15 UTC SHANGHAI SIPG vs Buriram United — model 57% / 22% / 21%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.75 · 4.55 · 4.76. Edge: SHANGHAI SIPG
• 12:15 UTC Ratchaburi vs Johor Darul Takzim FC — model 38% / 25% / 37%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 4.00 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
• 12:15 UTC Công An Nhân Dân vs Vissel Kobe — model 23% / 25% / 52%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.35 · 4.00 · 1.92. One-sided: Vissel Kobe
• 16:00 UTC Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — model 30% / 26% / 44%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.33 · 3.85 · 2.27. Edge: Al-Qadisiyah FC
• 18:15 UTC Al-Nassr vs Al Sadd — model 72% / 15% / 13%, most likely 3-1, fair odds 1.39 · 6.67 · 7.69. One-sided: Al-Nassr

Wednesday 25 November — 2 matches

• 10:00 UTC Kashima vs Jeonbuk Motors — model 53% / 26% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.89 · 3.85 · 4.76. Edge: Kashima
• 10:00 UTC Gamba Osaka vs Port FC — model 73% / 15% / 12%, most likely 3-1, fair odds 1.37 · 6.67 · 8.33. One-sided: Gamba Osaka

Last round: the model's hits and misses

2–4 November: the model called the result of 8 of 16 matches, 1 of them to the exact score. Across all 47 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 51% of results.

• Pakhtakor 2–6 Al-Nassr — the model said 12% / 18% / 70%, most likely 0-2: result correct.
• Al Sadd 0–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah — the model said 41% / 22% / 37%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Al-Wasl FC 4–3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya — the model said 74% / 17% / 9%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Tractor Sazi 2–2 Neftchi Fergana — the model said 80% / 13% / 7%, most likely 3-0: result missed.
• Al-Gharafa 0–5 Al-Qadisiyah FC — the model said 16% / 22% / 62%, most likely 0-2: result correct.
• Al-Ittihad 1–4 Al Ain — the model said 48% / 26% / 26%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Newcastle Jets 2–4 SHANGHAI SIPG — the model said 39% / 25% / 36%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Jeonbuk Motors 2–0 Johor Darul Takzim FC — the model said 49% / 26% / 25%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Daejeon Citizen — the model said 47% / 24% / 29%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Vissel Kobe 3–2 Ratchaburi — the model said 63% / 21% / 16%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Công An Nhân Dân 0–0 Kyoto Sanga — the model said 30% / 27% / 43%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
• Port FC 7–4 Beijing Guoan — the model said 32% / 24% / 44%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
• Esteghlal FC 1–0 Al Shamal — the model said 65% / 22% / 13%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Al-Hilal 2–0 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — the model said 64% / 21% / 15%, most likely 2-0: exact scoreline.
• Pohang Steelers 3–3 Gamba Osaka — the model said 35% / 27% / 38%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
• Buriram United 0–0 Kashima — the model said 27% / 26% / 47%, most likely 1-2: result missed.

AFC Champions League Elite so far

1st Preliminary Round

• Công An Nhân Dân went through against Adelaide United, 2–0.
• Al-Ittihad went through against Al-Jazira, 4–1.
• Gamba Osaka went through against Gangwon FC, 1–0.
• Pakhtakor went through against Al Hussein, 3–0.

Leading scorers: P. Ampem (SHANGHAI SIPG) 6 goals, H. Rahimi (Al Ain) 5 goals, J. Quiñones (Al-Qadisiyah FC) 4 goals.